I will never bet College basketball again. Indiana fucked up my parlay had them with the under 150 those dumb sumbitches foul Ohio State with 30sec left down 12 to make this score go over. At what fucking point do you stop fouling. SMH

Some teams will play until the very last second, no matter how far down they are, others will give up with three minutes to go, only down by six or eight, sending the game into "garbage time"

One of the hardest things about handicapping/betting Basket Ball is trying to predict how each team with play at the end when the outcome is no longer in question. When you figure it out, please let me know. I've been doing this for decades and have never been able to find a "system" for winning at basket ball consistently.

I have to say between Baseball, Football, Basketball and Hockey. Basketball is the hardest to win money at on a consistent basis. I am an experienced enough gambler to know when I won by pure dumb luck, and when I actually had a clue as to what I was doing. The betting outcome on meaningless scores is a higher percentage on basketball than any other sport, with the possible exception of "empty netters" in hockey, but I LOVE empty net goals in hockey, they have made me ten of thousands of dollars over the years. lol

I would have to agree with you where it pertains to basketball its definitely more difficult to win money and predict outcomes. Funny you mention hockey that's what I was initially planning to wager on, however I haven't seen any lines the past few days, and without football, I needed a fix lol sadly I chose the wrong sport. Like the stock market this is one heck of a rollercoaster. Garbage minutes giveth and they taketh away.

Or whatever they call it. Truth be told I don't know shit about hockey, but that hasn't stopped me from making money on it. I treat it much like baseball, I give the puck line parlayed with the over on high scoring teams. That's why I say that the "empty net" has saved me countless times.

What happens is mentally you start looking for patterns that may or may not exist.

If you want to put this to the test, here is a way to be objective. Save the lines from any days action, go through every result at the end of the day and for every game that was within a point or two of the line, you will find several that were several points off.

I will confess, it SEEMS like the linesmen are uncanny, but setting a line is easy, any gambler even a bit more than a casual bettor should be able to pick the line within a point or two. BEATING the line is quite a different matter, and a whole lot harder. but setting the line is easy.

betting on spreads are designed to drive you insane..and they are almost always right on within a point or two..

I don't shit about hockey either, except for the Blues and the Bruins I try to follow those teams. And watching it is even worse except when money Is involved.

However spreads are a crap shoot, but the payoff is worth it.

try betting the over/under { usually 5 1/2 }..high scoring teams are usually a gimme..good payout especially on parlays..

I don't usually do the overs in hockey, I prefer sticking with the blues or Bruins on the ML or the spread.  

check each teams " Goals For"..usually the highest scoring teams playing each other is a lock..teams like Buffalo or Florida are almost always " unders"..

and when two very high scoring teams play each other, the bookies will mitigate their losses by setting the line at something like "over 5 1/2 -135" which is as you are starting to discover a suckers bet, and a sure way to the poor house.

MacDiaper is correct when he states that the O/U is usually about  5 1/2 on a typical night you will find one or two games at 5, maybe one at 6, and all the rest at 5 1/2. What he fails to tell you and is why I know that he is not a serious gambler, or at least not a smart one, is that the O/U will range from may +110 to -145, which makes some bets a relative bargain, and others a sucker bet. One way to mitigate this of course is to do parlays with a side bet on the same bet, if you can get a decent price on the side bet, whether that bet be a money line, or a puck line bet, giving up minus 20 or even minus 30 on the O/U can still yield a bet with good value.

I know you are probably sick of hearing me use that term, but if you are going to gamble for the long haul, getting "good value" is a must. NOONE  can handicap well enough to make up for making bad value bets for any length of time, it simply can not be done. The juice will eat you up.

I know you said college basketball, but the same applies..

I was busy all day today so I couldn't check the lines, you are right though for me anything over -120 on a over is a suckers bet.  

how's it going...... dang only if you could have posted this Friday or Saturday sure could've used some advice from you.

Safety +525/-800

apologies on the wrong line info, couldn't find it on my book. +525/800 those aren't good safety odds in my opinion.  

Hawks 24 is 10/1
Pats 20 is 10/1

My book just released about a million props I had to laugh when I saw this one lol

I took them again at halftime.
Talk about salting a wound!

There is no way I would bet on college sports.  

It happens in football, but I can't think of a sport where it happens more than in basketball. I have also seen a casual flip from half court go in with no time left on the clock in a game that had long since been decided, but the fluke shot that the shooter himself was only half heartedly actually trying to make caused both the spread and the O/U bets to either cover or lose, depending of course on what side of the bet you were on.

It's just a fact of life in sports betting, just like in trading equities, it is a fact of life that occasionally the market makers are going to fuck you out of a trade. It sucks, but no one is forcing anyone to gamble. You either live with it, and try to account for it, or you quit betting.