Virtually every national poll has Obama up by 3-5 points and increasing the difference. Unless Obama makes some huge mistake, McCain is toast and loses by a landslide.
Its gonna be very tough after the idiot REP State Supreme Court in Ohio went along with the DEM Sec of State by allowing the one day registration and absentee vote of all those students without a clue that worship Obama .
Of course he can win. He's run a crappy campaign, picked a VP who has turned into a national joke, is running in an environment where his incumbent party's president sports a 27% approval rating and yet he's only 3-5 points down.
3 points is nothing. 3 people out of 100 have to change their mind to make this dead even. Obama could make a mistake, flub a debate, or call Bush "President Whitey" in an embarrassing open mic moment. And you're going to see an avalanche of negative ads from the McCain campaign and 527s over the next 30something days. If you remember 2000 and 2004 it's going to get pretty ugly.
And our brother on the Right - Timbrow - happens to be right. Palin is actually a good debater. The Couric interviews are not representative of her general ability and the McCain campaign whined loudly enough to get the rules changed in the debate to make the format more favorable to her.
And lastly, the press wants a horse race. Don't you think they're going to love writing about the "shocking" upset - Palin vanquishing the political gray hair Biden, breathing new life into the McCain campaign as he makes one last valiant comeback?
Your should probably ask the board if anyone thinks Obama can actually win, bro.
Since those wackos joined our party we went down hill. I thought when McCain decided to run that he was going to shunned them, but instead he gave them more power now. They have a stronghold on our party and they are suffocating us with their crap. Yes, i am not religious at all and never been and never will be. I wish Goldwater was around to cuss them out from the Senate floor like he used to do.
I honestly don't see how he can pull it out, but miracles happen once in a while. At this stage, i am without any hope at all for any victory, house, senate and white house.
To be 100% honest with you wormwood, i think a good beating would do us more good than harm. We need to take a serious beating so we can purge the party from all the religious wackos (sorry i can't stand them) and we need to go back to the basis: good stewardship of taxpayers money, rational foreign policy, strong defense. For god's sake, we need a new Goldwater or more people like Congressman Ray Lahood to stand up (i am waiting for Jindal or Crist to run in 2012 or 2016). We need someone who stands tall and tell Pat Robertson and Dobson and their crazy followers to stop blackmailing the party, get in line with the program or get the fuck out it. What are they going to do? Vote for the democrats? What we have now is a coalition that is no longer sustainable. We also need to open up the party for more folks. At St. Paul, we looked like a retirement home in Florida. The demographics are against us and that is usually a bad sign.
First, my Mom, 85 years old and a life long Democrat. She lives in L.A. a bastion of liberals. Yes she will vote for Obama. I try to avoid political discussion w/her as they tend to get a bit heated, but she mentioned that many of her senior citizen friends, and all are Democrats, (who isn't in West L.A.) will vote for McCain. Why? Obama is too liberal. Obama is black. Obama doesn't have experience, etc..etc..etc. White senior citizens in California vote in big numbers, and they always vote for Democrats, but not this time.
Second, my daughter, 20 years old and a junior at a California University. We all know that Obama needs the youth vote to win. I asked my daughter about the interest in Obama at her university, and without question it's high. I mean really, what Universities have rallies for Republicans. Then I asked my daughter if they will get out and vote. She laughed, and said, "Dad, they are away from home, do you really think they are smart enough to fill out an absentee ballot? Dad, they are focused on their classes. Once classes are done, they are off to parties to drink. Dad, did the youth vote come out in the last election? Guess what, they won't come out this time either."
Like I said, I don't have any scientific polls, just what I hear in the streets. I do find it interesting that Democrats have a higher number of registered voters than Republicans, but at the end of the day, Democrats just don't vote in the same numbers like Republicans. It's just a fact.
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