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willywonka4u 22 Reviews 30 reads
posted

So let's look at Michigan.  

 
Public Opinion Strategies
July 23-29
400 LV
Harris/Trump 45/45
Note, only 400 polled. 600 is bare minimum for a decent poll, 1000+ is better. As I've been saying for months now.  

 
Next up those terrible Morning Consult polls that have Harris up 11%. LOL.  

 
SoCal Research. Finally a decent pollster. But, only
500 RV
July 25-26
Trump 49, Harris 46

 
So what else do we have? Redfield & Wilton has Trump up by 3. Glengariff has Harris up by 1. Beacon Research has them even. Another Beacon poll has Trump up by plus 2. Emerson has them even. Another Emerson poll has Trump up by plus 2.  

 
So if I'm looking at these set of polls, what it tells me is that the race is pretty close in Michigan, but Trump is slightly ahead. Probably by 2%.  

 
Where did you get that Harris was in the lead in Michigan? Was it that Morning Consult poll? Again?

RespectfulRobert107 reads

She now leads him in Michigan, Wisconsin as well as PA, per the averages! Nevada is even, a state where Trump lead Joe by SIX points two weeks ago! She only trails him by 1 in GA, a state Willy told us Trump had locked up just 2 weeks ago!  
.
So now Willy's map should show that Kamala has 270 electoral votes WITHOUT Nevada, GA and AZ as they are ALL in play for her! Karl Rove nailed this! When will you update your map Willy? I cant wait to see it!

Related Link: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

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willywonka4u31 reads

So let's look at Michigan.  

 
Public Opinion Strategies
July 23-29
400 LV
Harris/Trump 45/45
Note, only 400 polled. 600 is bare minimum for a decent poll, 1000+ is better. As I've been saying for months now.  

 
Next up those terrible Morning Consult polls that have Harris up 11%. LOL.  

 
SoCal Research. Finally a decent pollster. But, only
500 RV
July 25-26
Trump 49, Harris 46

 
So what else do we have? Redfield & Wilton has Trump up by 3. Glengariff has Harris up by 1. Beacon Research has them even. Another Beacon poll has Trump up by plus 2. Emerson has them even. Another Emerson poll has Trump up by plus 2.  

 
So if I'm looking at these set of polls, what it tells me is that the race is pretty close in Michigan, but Trump is slightly ahead. Probably by 2%.  

 
Where did you get that Harris was in the lead in Michigan? Was it that Morning Consult poll? Again?

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RespectfulRobert19 reads

It's right there. It's an aggregate of the polling and she leads by 1.9 when Trump was beating Biden by 5 last month. Ugh.

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