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lester_prairie 12 Reviews 67 reads
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Quote: "A new Florida Atlantic University (FAU) survey shows that the presidential race has remained relatively unchanged since the Democratic National Convention (DNC)."
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AtlasIntel and Rasmussen Reports also found the race has been relatively unchanged.  Both Atlas and Rassy have Trump ahead by 3 and 2 respectively.  FAU has Harris +5.  So apparently the only difference is in their Dem/Rep/Ind weightings.
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All three of they do agree, however, that other polls showing wild swings are probably just bad polls.  The race has been pretty stable.

Hpygolky426 reads

I Never really thought Florida was in play because, you know … it’s fucking Florida is Florida.
But if this poll is correct or even close this could be game set match  
Funny  was that the VP’s husband had a town hall at the Villages and it was well received so, maybe something is brewing  
And Poor Desantis must be shitting on his platform boots

Related Link: https://floridapolitics.com/archives/696804-fau-poll-kamala-harris-holds-5-point-lead-n...

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RespectfulRobert62 reads

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inicky4674 reads

Because Trump-backed Gubernatorial Candidate Mark Robinson is now having to deny he called himself a "Black Nazi." He's losing the Governor's race and may drag Trump down with him. If Trump loses NoCa his path to victory is very narrow.

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lester_prairie68 reads

Quote: "A new Florida Atlantic University (FAU) survey shows that the presidential race has remained relatively unchanged since the Democratic National Convention (DNC)."
.
AtlasIntel and Rasmussen Reports also found the race has been relatively unchanged.  Both Atlas and Rassy have Trump ahead by 3 and 2 respectively.  FAU has Harris +5.  So apparently the only difference is in their Dem/Rep/Ind weightings.
.
All three of they do agree, however, that other polls showing wild swings are probably just bad polls.  The race has been pretty stable.

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lester_prairie64 reads

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lester_prairie62 reads

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inicky4672 reads

It's too late to resurrect your lack of credibility by putting up posts favorable to Harris.

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lester_prairie66 reads

University of Mary Washington poll for state of Virginia, Harris +1.  756 LV, Sept 3-9.
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Biden got +10 in Virginia in 2020.  Yikes!  (A concurrent WaPo poll had Harris +8)

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RespectfulRobert89 reads

And it's also clearly an outlier. She is up by 4.5% there on RCP average and by 7% on 538. The only two polls that have some post debate participants, she leads by 8% average.

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Hpygolky66 reads

I miss our daily updates … 🤔🤔

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lester_prairie73 reads

Three posts above yours.

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RespectfulRobert76 reads

Just prior to the debate, he had Trump leading her 64-36% re: winning the EC. Damn he soured on Trump fast. No surprise. He doesn't want his legacy tarnished if/when Kamala wins. It's CYA time.

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LostSon86 reads

Posted By: RespectfulRobert
Re: The debate and subsequent polling has really messed with Nate's mind.
Just prior to the debate, he had Trump leading her 64-36% re: winning the EC. Damn he soured on Trump fast. No surprise. He doesn't want his legacy tarnished if/when Kamala wins. It's CYA time.
Seriously? Now Nate Silver is putting his thumb on the scale? Is that what your suggesting?

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RespectfulRobert66 reads

Now he suddenly switched to Kamala. Just an interesting observation. :)

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inicky4681 reads

I give the advantage to Harris on that, as she has more money and a better organization for her ground game. Also, the big PAC run by Musk just switched the group in charge of its ground game, never a good thing this close to an election. And the RNC is "led" by Lara Trump, who's a political neophyte.

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lester_prairie72 reads

2670 likely voters, Sept 17-21
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Doesn't look like Kamala is winning the sunbelt.

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inicky4673 reads

Normally, Fester will deny the truth of any Times article, just because it's in the Times.
Hypocrisy alert!

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lester_prairie81 reads

The question isn't whether I believe the NYTimes,  the question is whether you believe the NYTimes.

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inicky4660 reads

So no hypocrisy there. It's YOU who only believes what he wants to.
Hence, hypocrisy.

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lester_prairie61 reads

You know who else might believe the NYTimes polls, PolyMarket bettors.  Yesterday PolyMarket was trending in favor of Harris +5.  Today she's down to Harris +3.5.  Considering how slow that market has moved recently, that appears significant.

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lester_prairie81 reads

While the Minneapolis Star Tribune has Harris +5 overall, they found she has terrible approval numbers with independents.
Trump favorable 48, unfavorable 51, -3 net
Harris favorable 41, unfavorable 57, -16 net

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lester_prairie70 reads

Could this be it, could Kamala be breaking out and shooting to the moon???  Tune in tomorrow to see if she overcomes her current 5-day rolling average -3.8% deficit.

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coeur-de-lion63 reads

Florida is NOT in play.   Everything AFTER than is pure drivel.   Lol

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lester_prairie62 reads

Still a Trump lead.  But narrow.

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