Politics and Religion

Unchanged
Hpygolky 234 Reviews 426 reads
posted
1 / 27

I Never really thought Florida was in play because, you know … it’s fucking Florida is Florida.
But if this poll is correct or even close this could be game set match  
Funny  was that the VP’s husband had a town hall at the Villages and it was well received so, maybe something is brewing  
And Poor Desantis must be shitting on his platform boots

RespectfulRobert 62 reads
posted
2 / 27
inicky46 61 Reviews 74 reads
posted
3 / 27

Because Trump-backed Gubernatorial Candidate Mark Robinson is now having to deny he called himself a "Black Nazi." He's losing the Governor's race and may drag Trump down with him. If Trump loses NoCa his path to victory is very narrow.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 70 reads
posted
4 / 27

Quote: "A new Florida Atlantic University (FAU) survey shows that the presidential race has remained relatively unchanged since the Democratic National Convention (DNC)."
.
AtlasIntel and Rasmussen Reports also found the race has been relatively unchanged.  Both Atlas and Rassy have Trump ahead by 3 and 2 respectively.  FAU has Harris +5.  So apparently the only difference is in their Dem/Rep/Ind weightings.
.
All three of they do agree, however, that other polls showing wild swings are probably just bad polls.  The race has been pretty stable.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 65 reads
posted
5 / 27
lester_prairie 12 Reviews 62 reads
posted
6 / 27
inicky46 61 Reviews 72 reads
posted
7 / 27

It's too late to resurrect your lack of credibility by putting up posts favorable to Harris.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 66 reads
posted
8 / 27

University of Mary Washington poll for state of Virginia, Harris +1.  756 LV, Sept 3-9.
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Biden got +10 in Virginia in 2020.  Yikes!  (A concurrent WaPo poll had Harris +8)

Hpygolky 234 Reviews 66 reads
posted
9 / 27
RespectfulRobert 89 reads
posted
11 / 27

And it's also clearly an outlier. She is up by 4.5% there on RCP average and by 7% on 538. The only two polls that have some post debate participants, she leads by 8% average.

RespectfulRobert 76 reads
posted
12 / 27

Just prior to the debate, he had Trump leading her 64-36% re: winning the EC. Damn he soured on Trump fast. No surprise. He doesn't want his legacy tarnished if/when Kamala wins. It's CYA time.

LostSon 43 Reviews 86 reads
posted
13 / 27

Posted By: RespectfulRobert
Re: The debate and subsequent polling has really messed with Nate's mind.
Just prior to the debate, he had Trump leading her 64-36% re: winning the EC. Damn he soured on Trump fast. No surprise. He doesn't want his legacy tarnished if/when Kamala wins. It's CYA time.
Seriously? Now Nate Silver is putting his thumb on the scale? Is that what your suggesting?

inicky46 61 Reviews 81 reads
posted
14 / 27

I give the advantage to Harris on that, as she has more money and a better organization for her ground game. Also, the big PAC run by Musk just switched the group in charge of its ground game, never a good thing this close to an election. And the RNC is "led" by Lara Trump, who's a political neophyte.

RespectfulRobert 66 reads
posted
15 / 27

Now he suddenly switched to Kamala. Just an interesting observation. :)

inicky46 61 Reviews 63 reads
posted
16 / 27

So maybe he'll explain why the latest Virginia poll has Harris up by 2 points? Yes, it's within the margin of error but I'd still rather be up by 2 than down by 2. Also, the poll is validated by Kaine's +6 performance.

inicky46 61 Reviews 63 reads
posted
17 / 27
lester_prairie 12 Reviews 72 reads
posted
18 / 27

2670 likely voters, Sept 17-21
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Doesn't look like Kamala is winning the sunbelt.

inicky46 61 Reviews 73 reads
posted
19 / 27

Normally, Fester will deny the truth of any Times article, just because it's in the Times.
Hypocrisy alert!

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 81 reads
posted
20 / 27

The question isn't whether I believe the NYTimes,  the question is whether you believe the NYTimes.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 57 reads
posted
21 / 27

Biden did resign, Jill is running cabinet meetings now (they aren't even hiding it.)  Jill Biden is president of the US.  

inicky46 61 Reviews 60 reads
posted
22 / 27

So no hypocrisy there. It's YOU who only believes what he wants to.
Hence, hypocrisy.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 61 reads
posted
23 / 27

You know who else might believe the NYTimes polls, PolyMarket bettors.  Yesterday PolyMarket was trending in favor of Harris +5.  Today she's down to Harris +3.5.  Considering how slow that market has moved recently, that appears significant.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 82 reads
posted
24 / 27

While the Minneapolis Star Tribune has Harris +5 overall, they found she has terrible approval numbers with independents.
Trump favorable 48, unfavorable 51, -3 net
Harris favorable 41, unfavorable 57, -16 net

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 71 reads
posted
25 / 27

Could this be it, could Kamala be breaking out and shooting to the moon???  Tune in tomorrow to see if she overcomes her current 5-day rolling average -3.8% deficit.

coeur-de-lion 400 Reviews 64 reads
posted
26 / 27

Florida is NOT in play.   Everything AFTER than is pure drivel.   Lol

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 63 reads
posted
27 / 27

Still a Trump lead.  But narrow.

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