Politics and Religion

Harris up 5 in……. Fucking Florida…WTF
Hpygolky 214 Reviews 406 reads
posted
1 / 30

I Never really thought Florida was in play because, you know … it’s fucking Florida is Florida.
But if this poll is correct or even close this could be game set match  
Funny  was that the VP’s husband had a town hall at the Villages and it was well received so, maybe something is brewing  
And Poor Desantis must be shitting on his platform boots

RespectfulRobert 60 reads
posted
2 / 30
inicky46 61 Reviews 66 reads
posted
3 / 30

Because Trump-backed Gubernatorial Candidate Mark Robinson is now having to deny he called himself a "Black Nazi." He's losing the Governor's race and may drag Trump down with him. If Trump loses NoCa his path to victory is very narrow.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 63 reads
posted
4 / 30

Quote: "A new Florida Atlantic University (FAU) survey shows that the presidential race has remained relatively unchanged since the Democratic National Convention (DNC)."
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AtlasIntel and Rasmussen Reports also found the race has been relatively unchanged.  Both Atlas and Rassy have Trump ahead by 3 and 2 respectively.  FAU has Harris +5.  So apparently the only difference is in their Dem/Rep/Ind weightings.
.
All three of they do agree, however, that other polls showing wild swings are probably just bad polls.  The race has been pretty stable.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 60 reads
posted
5 / 30
lester_prairie 12 Reviews 57 reads
posted
6 / 30
inicky46 61 Reviews 67 reads
posted
7 / 30

It's too late to resurrect your lack of credibility by putting up posts favorable to Harris.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 61 reads
posted
8 / 30

University of Mary Washington poll for state of Virginia, Harris +1.  756 LV, Sept 3-9.
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Biden got +10 in Virginia in 2020.  Yikes!  (A concurrent WaPo poll had Harris +8)

Hpygolky 214 Reviews 60 reads
posted
9 / 30
RespectfulRobert 80 reads
posted
11 / 30

And it's also clearly an outlier. She is up by 4.5% there on RCP average and by 7% on 538. The only two polls that have some post debate participants, she leads by 8% average.

RespectfulRobert 67 reads
posted
12 / 30

Just prior to the debate, he had Trump leading her 64-36% re: winning the EC. Damn he soured on Trump fast. No surprise. He doesn't want his legacy tarnished if/when Kamala wins. It's CYA time.

LostSon 43 Reviews 80 reads
posted
13 / 30

Posted By: RespectfulRobert
Re: The debate and subsequent polling has really messed with Nate's mind.
Just prior to the debate, he had Trump leading her 64-36% re: winning the EC. Damn he soured on Trump fast. No surprise. He doesn't want his legacy tarnished if/when Kamala wins. It's CYA time.
Seriously? Now Nate Silver is putting his thumb on the scale? Is that what your suggesting?

inicky46 61 Reviews 74 reads
posted
14 / 30

I give the advantage to Harris on that, as she has more money and a better organization for her ground game. Also, the big PAC run by Musk just switched the group in charge of its ground game, never a good thing this close to an election. And the RNC is "led" by Lara Trump, who's a political neophyte.

RespectfulRobert 56 reads
posted
15 / 30

Now he suddenly switched to Kamala. Just an interesting observation. :)

willywonka4u 22 Reviews 60 reads
posted
16 / 30

You will be quite surprised by how poorly KamalamaDingDong will do on election day. Trump is going to win. It won’t be close.

inicky46 61 Reviews 58 reads
posted
17 / 30

So maybe he'll explain why the latest Virginia poll has Harris up by 2 points? Yes, it's within the margin of error but I'd still rather be up by 2 than down by 2. Also, the poll is validated by Kaine's +6 performance.

willywonka4u 22 Reviews 52 reads
posted
18 / 30

I hope I didn’t give the impression Trump would win Virginia by a large margin. He won’t. It will be close in VA, but Trump will win the state. What won’t be close is the general election. Trump is going to clobber Harris in the electoral college. Harris will be the worst performing Democrat since Dukakis.

inicky46 61 Reviews 58 reads
posted
19 / 30
lester_prairie 12 Reviews 68 reads
posted
20 / 30

2670 likely voters, Sept 17-21
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Doesn't look like Kamala is winning the sunbelt.

inicky46 61 Reviews 70 reads
posted
21 / 30

Normally, Fester will deny the truth of any Times article, just because it's in the Times.
Hypocrisy alert!

willywonka4u 22 Reviews 65 reads
posted
22 / 30

You remarked a few days ago about this election hinging on turnout. The campaign heads and money spent plays little into turn out. What drives turn out is the state of the country, and most people think the country is heading in the wrong direction. And much more importantly, Republicans are voting for Trump. Democrats are not voting for Harris, but against Trump. When you have that dynamic, the candidate people are voting against wins.  

 
Just like in 2008. Democrats were voting for Obama. Republicans were not voting for McCain but against Obama. Trump is going to be the next President, unless Biden gives the Dems their November surprise and he resigns so Harris can get sworn in at the last minute. I’m guessing that won’t happen now that they stabbed him in the back.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 76 reads
posted
23 / 30

The question isn't whether I believe the NYTimes,  the question is whether you believe the NYTimes.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 55 reads
posted
24 / 30

Biden did resign, Jill is running cabinet meetings now (they aren't even hiding it.)  Jill Biden is president of the US.  

inicky46 61 Reviews 56 reads
posted
25 / 30

So no hypocrisy there. It's YOU who only believes what he wants to.
Hence, hypocrisy.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 58 reads
posted
26 / 30

You know who else might believe the NYTimes polls, PolyMarket bettors.  Yesterday PolyMarket was trending in favor of Harris +5.  Today she's down to Harris +3.5.  Considering how slow that market has moved recently, that appears significant.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 77 reads
posted
27 / 30

While the Minneapolis Star Tribune has Harris +5 overall, they found she has terrible approval numbers with independents.
Trump favorable 48, unfavorable 51, -3 net
Harris favorable 41, unfavorable 57, -16 net

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 69 reads
posted
28 / 30

Could this be it, could Kamala be breaking out and shooting to the moon???  Tune in tomorrow to see if she overcomes her current 5-day rolling average -3.8% deficit.

coeur-de-lion 400 Reviews 57 reads
posted
29 / 30

Florida is NOT in play.   Everything AFTER than is pure drivel.   Lol

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 58 reads
posted
30 / 30

Still a Trump lead.  But narrow.

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