A predictive opinion poll has to be limited in scope (although it can include choices such as "other" or "none of the above") but are YOU saying that Trump will, actually and unconditionally, be on the ballot in 2024? Dems won't have some other, better choices?
Posted By: coeur-de-lion
Give Joe a year to get us into a war and fuck the economy up even more, and even the Dems will be on their knees begging Trump to come back
I don't think that Trump or Biden will on the ballot in Nov 2024. Well ... Lunatic, chaotic behavior is much harder to predict than rational, reasoned behavior so I have to allow for that. Trump MIGHT be on the ballot as an official candidate of some fringe party like QAnon or the Mar-a-Lago Party. (Anything to raise money as "contributions.")
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How about a new poll question. Not "Who do you WANT to be in the ballot" but "Who do you REALLY think has a chance to be a Presidential candidate on the ballot in 2024? Mark each name either Possible or Not possible." If TER would upgrade their software, we could have a sliding scale: 100% Possible ..... 0% Possible.
Biden 20 (possible, but I don't think so)
Trump 0 (except as the candidate of some lunatic group)
Harris 100 (possible, even if not desirable)
Cheney 100 (possible, even if not desirable)
Buttigieg 100 (possible, even if not desirable)
Kinzinger 100 (possible, even if not desirable)
CDL 100 (possible, even if not desirable)
Impposter 0 ("If nominated, I will not run. If elected, I will not serve.")
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