Posted By: coeur-de-lion
Re: Many voters don't understand . . . . the concept of inflation, ...
Neither does Trump. He officially stated at the RNC Convention that his way to lower inflation is via "drill, baby, drill." According to Trump, (I can't find the exact quote), the cost of energy is the key driver of inflation.
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http://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/rnc-trump-speech-biden-election-2024/card/trump-says-he-will-end-inflation-crisis--2YPe96TA0q0MJKB1BoNL Trump Says He Will End ‘Inflation Crisis’ [July 19 2024]
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"Former President Donald Trump vows to “end the inflation crisis” by drilling for oil to reduce energy costs, which he says will bring down prices for transportation, manufacturing and household goods. Inflation has been a major concern of voters headed into the election, thanks to elevated prices in recent years.
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"Inflation is currently cooling: Consumer prices rose less than 3% in June from a year earlier, down from a peak of 9% two years ago. *****Most economists in a survey by The Wall Street Journal believe inflation, deficits and interest rates would all be higher during a second Trump administration***** than if President Biden remains in the White House. ..."
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http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-promises-massive-tax-cuts-and-end-to-inflation-in-convention-speech-95790364 Trump promises ‘massive tax cuts’ and an end to inflation in convention speech.
Republican presidential nominee delivers address as his party’s convention in Milwaukee comes to an end.
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"Donald Trump reiterated his promises to lower taxes as well as stop inflation through greater U.S. production of fossil fuels, as the Republican presidential nominee spoke Thursday night to close out his party’s convention in Milwaukee.
“I will end the devastating inflation crisis immediately, bring down interest rates and lower the cost of energy,” Trump said during his wide-ranging address. “We will drill, baby, drill,” he added, predicting that will “lead to a large-scale decline in prices.” [Immediately???]
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http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/15/trump-economy-inflation ‘This just isn’t going to add up’: experts warn Trumponomics would hurt US.
Trump says he has plan to immediately lower inflation. Economists predict high tariffs and tax cuts would raise it.
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"... While the former president has pledged to “quickly” lower prices if he defeats Joe Biden in November’s presidential election, experts believe his policies risk sending them higher. ... But economists raised concern that his plans for steep tariffs on overseas goods and sweeping tax cuts would do the opposite. ..." [Trump tariffs on China severely damaged several MAJOR business sectors, e.g., soy bean exports to China CRASHED, wiping out $billions of exports. Etc.]
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"... "There’s a difference between reducing prices and reducing inflation,” Michael R Strain, director of economic policy studies at American Enterprise Institute, a conservative thinktank. “I don’t think anything that he’s proposing would lead to outright reductions in pricing.” ..."
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"Tariffs will ‘hurt: The Republican policy platform, said to have been personally edited by Trump, included a commitment to introduce “baseline” tariffs. Imported goods would face a levy of 10%, according to his campaign. Such a plan would “hurt the economy”, said Bernard Yaros, lead US economist at Oxford Economics. “If we do get across-the-board tariffs, that’s going to add to inflation immediately,” he said. ..."
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"Tax cuts will cost ‘trillions’: Trump’s proposed tax package – extending the cuts introduced during his first term, axing taxes on tips for hospitality workers and pursuing unspecified “additional” cuts – has raised fears that the vast US budget deficit would balloon on his watch. His tax plans “will cost trillions of dollars at a time when the budget deficit is growing, and the national debt is on an unsustainable trajectory”, said Strain. ...
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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-13/trump-tells-ceos-he-would-cut-corporate-tax-rate-to-20 Trump Tells CEOs He Would Cut Corporate Tax Rate to 20%. Trump met with Dimon, other CEOs in private meeting Thursday. [When asked "Why 20%?" Trump said, "Because it's a nice round number." Business, financiers, and economists were flabbergasted by Trump's utter stupidity.] ... back to The Guardian article ... ]
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"Trump’s inflation plan: Trump’s stated plan to lower inflation has five key pillars: ditch restrictions on domestic energy production, cut “wasteful” government spending, reduce regulations, crack down on immigration and “restore peace” worldwide. How likely Trump is to achieve such goals is an open question. ..."
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For example, some economists estimate that deporting 1.6 million workers will raise prices and increase inflation and it will SHRINK the economy by more than 2%.
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I have read several articles and opinion pieces recently that are using the phrase "low information voters." E.g., 'The Dems shouldn't waste time explaining every policy and plan in nuanced detail. The eyes of low info voters (many of whom are 'undecided') will just glaze over.' E.g., "Trump appeals primarily to low info voters who buy into the sound bites and lies and don't question whether his promises and claims are true or even make sense.' None of the articles mention TER P&R specifically but that analysis seems applicable here.