Politics and Religion

Let's look at that latest batch of polling from the big 3 states shall we?
RespectfulRobert 192 reads
posted
1 / 6

TERRIBLE news for Trump again!
.
From The Bullfinch Group:
Wisconsin Kamala +9
Michigan Kamala +6
PA Kamala +4
.
This polling validates The NY Times polls from last week. Trump is sinking fast. Willy will update that map of his very soon to show Kamala in the lead overall I am sure!

-- Modified on 8/12/2024 3:54:23 PM

willywonka4u 22 Reviews 45 reads
posted
2 / 6

Go into the details of the poll.  

 
http://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65fc824cf835683ce2d3549b/66ba4069b73a13894a56414d_Independent%20Center%20-%20Battleground%20States%20Poll%202024.pdf

 
The poll had +2 more people responding as “Very Democratic” vs “Very Republican”. But more importantly, the poll over sampled women by +4.  

 
I think Hispanics and Asians were under sampled as well, but I only know the national averages, not the averages in those states.  

 
I discovered this earlier with a Financial Times poll that found Kamala had a +1 in “trust on the economy”. Look into the poll details and you find they over sampled Democrats by +4.

RespectfulRobert 39 reads
posted
3 / 6

A guy who had RFK Jr leading in a bunch of states is smarter about polling than 538, the RCP, NY Times, the Bullfinch Group, etc. And you wonder why people think you are a troll? lol
.
Btw when is the new map coming out? We just cant wait any longer! lol.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 37 reads
posted
4 / 6

500 registered voters.  They should be doing likely voters at this stage. 500 is a small sample size.  Rasmussen uses about 1500 LV in his polls.  He uses D+2.

willywonka4u 22 Reviews 44 reads
posted
5 / 6

They’re always middle of the month on Tuesday. Last month was skipped because of the assassination attempt and Harris joining the race.

Register Now!