: Politics and Religion Discussion : I am afraid to ask.

BigPapasan 3 Reviews 364 reads

posted 2 years ago

1 / 18

Wisconsin is a key swing state in the upcoming election...

That's one reason why the GOP chose Milwaukee as the site of the Republican National Convention this summer. It would give them a leg up on winning the state.

Naturally, Trump fucked it up. He called Milwaukee "a horrible city." Hmmm, did Trump make that cavalier remark because Milwaukee has a large Black population and a Black mayor?
Miwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson replied: "If Donald Trump wants to talk about things that he thinks are horrible, all of us lived through his presidency, so right back at you, buddy!"

BigPapasan 3 Reviews 53 reads

posted 2 years ago

2 / 18

willy: "At all times remember that journalists are idiots...

...Sensationalism is the only thing they know."
http://www.theeroticreview.com/discussion-boards/politics-and-religion-39/the-newsmax-link-is-bullshit-441163?page=

At all times remember that willy is an idiot. He believes the sensationalism of the New York Post:
"Murdoch outlets 'desperate': Claims that Biden wandered off at G7 summit debunked"
http://www.rawstory.com/joe-biden-g7/

What has not been debunked is that Trump is mentally unstable. No one, and I mean NO ONE, has defended Trump for his remarks about sharks vs. electrocution. I'm not talking about no one on TER; no righty in the whole world has defended Trump's insane ramblings.

Hey LostSon - how do you rate willy's post on the "BigP deflection scale?" Does his post have anything to do with my OP?

RespectfulRobert 48 reads

posted 2 years ago

3 / 18

I am afraid to ask.

Where are you getting that "Trump probably has Michigan" from??? Trump had a 5+ point lead there just 4 months ago and now he "leads" by 0.3. Yes, zero point three. He is blowing it there. Joe actually has the lead or is tied in 4 out of the last 6 polls there per RCP so thing are clearly headed in the right direction for Joe.

cks175 52 Reviews 47 reads

posted 2 years ago

4 / 18

Re: I am afraid to ask. (You’re Numbers Are Off)

From the most recent Michigan poll carried by RCP:

In a five-way trial ballot test Trump (46.3%) and Biden (45.1%) are separated by just one point two
percent followed by Natural Law Party candidate Robert F. Kennedy (3.3%), Green Party candidate
Jill Stein (0.5%) and independent Cornel West (1.1%)

Factoring in past polls, the Biden and Trump average works out to a virtual tie. Unless Biden can significantly improve his approval numbers come November, I see Trump winning Michigan.

RespectfulRobert 40 reads

posted 2 years ago

5 / 18

My numbers were exactly correct.

Look below. The state is a toss up. Biden doesn't have to raise his approval numbers at all in that scenario let along "significantly improve" them. The state is trending Joes way since February and by FIVE full points.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 55 reads

posted 2 years ago

6 / 18

Trump leading by 4 in Minnesota???

END OF MESSAGE

cks175 52 Reviews 50 reads

posted 2 years ago

7 / 18

Re: Trump leading by 4 in Minnesota??? (Wow!) eom

END OF MESSAGE

RespectfulRobert 51 reads

posted 2 years ago

8 / 18

Wow!

Not. Did you even bother to read the poll? It was paid for by Trump. Come on cks. Do a little reading, cant you? lol.

cks175 52 Reviews 50 reads

posted 2 years ago

9 / 18

Re: Wow!

Of course I read it. But any poll showing MN as flippable, whether it’s an internal poll or not, is worth paying some attention to!

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 50 reads

posted 2 years ago

10 / 18

Re: Wow!

Hillary only beat Trump by 1.6% in 2016 in Minnesota. And other parties scarfed up 7%. And remember Hillary was crushing Trump in national polls. The last time Minnesota went for the Republican prez was Nixon in '72. This would be an upset for sure.

RespectfulRobert 50 reads

posted 2 years ago

11 / 18

Any poll????

Where is inickys gif of Max Klinger on the Pyramid show saying "Things that a partisan hack would say?" lol.

inicky46 61 Reviews 50 reads

posted 2 years ago

12 / 18

You rang????

You're welcome.

cks175 52 Reviews 47 reads

posted 2 years ago

13 / 18

Re: Wow! (How About An RCP Listed Poll?)

RCP only lists one poll for Minnesota, so we don’t have an average to look at yet.

http://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/minnesota/trump-vs-biden-vs-kennedy

But Trump has a higher approval rating than Biden, leads with Independents, and is pulling 20% of the POC voters. Biden has a 3.9% lead in the poll (within the margin of error), but his numbers with Independents and POC (he really needs to hold Trump to just 15%) show that he vulnerable in Minnesota.