Now wouldn't that be a kick in butt to all those righties...
Des Moines Register poll has her ahead....WFT.
Iowa was NEVER in play, and now lookie here...fellas we got a race. And she never really campaigned there.
Be warned: Trump is a lousy candidate...bring on Haley now,

The DMR has a very good reputation. I wonder if it a sign of massive late movement towards Kamala or just a deeply flawed poll. I guess we'll find out soon enough but polls like that will keep Trump advisors up at night.

But Virginia is.

Have you notice how many rallies he’s holding there ?
Harris did one so she’s putting the screws to him. Spending all that time there and not on other battleground states. I
Harris is playing Trump

The Emerson Iowa poll came out an hour or so before Selzer and they have Trump +10.5.
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Nationally the Morning Consult poll which has been quite favorable to Harris just released their final poll with Harris +2, her worst result yet.  A month ago they had Harris +6.  
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The TIPP tracking poll nationally also just flipped back to Trump +1.
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So between Emerson Iowa poll and national polls, there is no other poll besides Selzer that is seeing a trend toward Harris.  Selzer is an outlier.

This graph was just posted on X by Elon Musk.
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It shows early voting by voter party registration 2020 vs 2024.
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Republicans have cut into Democrat early voting lead making it easier to overcome on election day, compared to 2020.

…to add more resources to Virginia. This signals that she knows North Carolina is a lost cause for her campaign.  

I'm not surebwhere you get your data, but as I have said for weeks, NC is a win for Trump BIGLY! Those people have NOT forgotten Harris' offer. They said ...thanks but no thanks. I think the margin was slim for Trump in 2020 for NC, not this time. Prepare to see record breaking numbers there. You might as well give up your "NC nervous" bit. It ain't happnin'

What Fester failed to mention is Selzer is also the Gold Standard among pollsters who has been right almost every time.
Fester is...

While Obama carried the state, Trump easily carried the state in 2016 and 2020.  

The Des Moines Register's polls have a history of being spot on. So your citing of other polls is irrelevant.
Apparently, the Trump campaign is in a panic about it.
But, still, Wanker....

He’s holding 4 rallies there, up to Election Day. His whole weekend is spent begging voters to vote for him.there.  Ask yourself, why is that? All that time in N.C. 🤔🤔🤔
Lemme me tell you why.. because he knows his campaign is sinking. TFS😂
I’m telling you, Harris is playing him.  
He’s taking his eye off the ball

Seltzer missed the 2018 government race by 5 points, she had D+3 and it went R+2.

Trump won Kansas by 14pts on 2020. So how’s Trump doing against Harris, you say? Trump is Only leading by 5 pts
Not saying Kansas serious play but trump is loosing his mojo and this could spell trouble in MI,WI and PA
Something not bueno is happening to Trump

so he could believe she's wrong. So she's not perfect. So what? She's good enough that most other pollsters consider her the gold standard.

Fine print: it's a survey, not a poll.

One that was mentioned by MSNBC's excellent analyst Steve Kornacki is Wisconsin. It's right next door to Iowa and is demographically very similar.

Poll Nov 2-3, 435 LV
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Gauge a feel .., and the temperature isn’t looking good for trump

And you’re campaigning for the board’s dumbest poster.

Nothing wrong with a survey. But comparing it with a poll is misleading. A poll is going to attempt to be representative of the population. A survey is just whoever responded.

They call, you answer if you want, honestly or not.
Aren’t they kinda the same ?
You could probably get the same sense as to what’s going on

So presumably the results are not as reflective of the entire voting public.

I have a feeling that this so called “secret” voter is real and is under reported  
Hence, Iowa.

I even saw some lefties on X claiming Harris will win Texas. 😂😂😂. I don’t think we’ll ever see a repeat of Reagan/Mondale, but this election may very well be close to it. I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s some shocking blue states that flip red like Maine, New Jersey, Illinois, New Mexico or Oregon. Dem insiders know this. Them thinking Harris has a chance in Iowa is just cope.

I should have said "likely" Dem turnout is down.  The numbers refer to urban and female voters vs rural.  The presumption is this means Dems underperform, but that is only an assumption.

Along with Kansas .,, but Ohio is interesting

Bkiden lost to Trump there in 2020 by around 15 points, but now Trump's lead there is only 5. So who knows? Ohio looks out of reach. I'd settle for Sherrod Brown keeping his seat. If Harris wins she can do it without Ohio but she can't easily govern without the Senate.

If he gets Pennsylvania, NC and Georgia, he makes 270 without Arizona or Nevada.

SELZER PREDICTION      ACTUAL RESULT
2022 Senate                    R +12                                R +12
2020 President                R  +7                                 R +8
2020 Senate                     R +4                                 R +7
2018 Governor                D +2                                 R +3
2016 President                R +7                                 R +9
2014 Senate                     R +7                                 R +8
2012 President                D +5                                 D +6

Harris 50.015%, Trump 49.985%
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Yes that is a 0.03 point difference.   That's a false precision.

From the Florida numbers I’m seeing. This is rough back of envelope stuff, so keep that in mind.  

tRump won IA by what, 13%? The “gold standard” indeed as one knowledgeable poster opined!

Kansas was close?  Trump won, 57-40.  He did better against Kamala then he did Biden.