Again....
It is a "guess" from PRE ORDERS.
Also they can't blame taking "hits" from things not selling on the lot now on TARIFFS. Those vehicles not selling and sitting on the lots longer than expected (which is in those projections) can't be blamed ON TARIFFS.
I guess you don't fucking understand how "projections" work. You take what you have on hand and how fast it is selling or not selling. You take how fast you are getting pre-orders or not getting pre-orders. Then you extrapolate how that will have a cause/affect on your production. Then to talk profit.... you also take in wages (increases with union UAW), tariffs, lack or acceleration of production/sales. So again.... if things are not selling that are sitting now *HURTING PROFIT*, not getting pre-orders *HURTING PROFIT*, not going to produce as many vehicles *HURTING PROFIT*, Wages will go up *HURTING PROFIT*, Projected production decreasing *HURTING PROFIT*, Tariff increase on raw materials *HURTING PROFIT*..... so one out of four things is based DIRECTLY on fucking tariffs (raw materials) production is based on sales. Now if they had vehicles flying off the lots, increase production, increase in hours, ordering even more materials.... then tariffs would hurt more... because they would increase in EVERYTHING THAT IS COST.
Like I mentioned right now they are using tariffs as a scapegoat because things are not selling, and it is an easy boogeyman. This way they don't have to blame workers/unions with is a bad look. They dont have to admit to poor sales (pissing off board members), don't have to "lower prices" drastically... blame tariffs.
You do know that the average base model F150 super crew coming off the plant line costs roughly $25K and the lot price is $55K (average). Ford sends them to dealers at roughly $35-$40K per Truck from factory based on volume dealers do. FORD makes $12-15K per base model and more per "Custom" pre-orders. Also I know shipping/deliver costs are sometimes split by Ford and dealer or eaten by Ford... again based on volume of sales. Same numbers go per other auto companies. When covid hit and Feds gave away money (Trump included) Auto makers found the money grab of "pre-oders" and loved it. Lower inventory sitting and can charge more to say it is "custom". Same with dealers. Anyways i digress.
I will go back to RIGHT NOW... auto manufactures are using "TARIFFS" as the boogeyman. With these "projections". The tariffs haven't been in place long enough to make a difference. If you can't see it you are blind. You are falling for their bullshit. Seriously
If you want to know how I know lots about car trade.... i used to work in it and owned a dealership or two. CEO's make MILLIONS for a reason at these companies. They are not stupid and right now they dont want to blame workers for anything to piss off the Unions and create a "strike" atmosphere. BUT they can use "tariffs" as an excuse if layoffs happen or if they need to cut hours.... OR EVEN SHIFT MORE TOWARDS AUTOMATION AND AI. They can use "tariffs" to keep prices "HIGH" or inflated and consumers will eat it up. Why not it is in the news non stop.
You can keep arguing with me.... But you are honestly WRONG. It is too early to tell about tariffs. Yes they are "PROJECTING" but those projections are including vehicles sitting on lots right now that are taking longer than average to sell. Those projections are including the lack of "pre-orders" compared to last year and its projection not being met". Those projections are including that they will have to slow down production. None of that has to do with TARIFFS... that is all SALE BASED. Now if sales were flying off the lot.... yeah then you can discuss tariffs because you would be purchasing more materials and what not.
Read this article and it basically tells you kind of what I am talking about. It says to "hold on" from buying a new vehicle. Because lots are getting more inventory, vehicles are sitting longer on lots, tariffs HAVENT KICKED IN YET, dealers/automakers haven't YET needed to go incentive crazy, or have to lower prices. But yet you are telling me tariffs are to blame... they are playing the game when if they wanted sales they could be making them. They push these "profit" stories and "PROJECTIONS" as tools... CEO's are not dumb.