Let's be honest, The republicans backers are running a third party candidate, be it Manchin or Kennedy. I told a friend when this first came out awhile ago that this could take votes away from trump and ultimately not be as damaging to Biden. My reasoning at that time is that the Moderate Republicans who sucked it up and voted for trump in 2016, and 2020 will most likely vote for Manchin, he kinda thinks like a moderate republican anyways so why not. These trump indictment are really wracking havoc with the moderate R's. They're going to be tired of defending him that by then, they going to cut bait, lick their wounds and hope for 2028. They'll still stay true to themselves with their vow never to vote for Biden or trump.
So I bring this up, because today, some pundit on TV echo the same thing, That's it possible that some of the R's will vote third party and that this could hurt trump.
It's too early to gauge this, as it's too early to get a hard on over polls but I found it interesting

You most likely voted for trump in 2020, right?? And if yes, see what could happen in 2024.
Just a thought here as I'm bored

Yes, voted Trump 2020.