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538
mattradd 40 Reviews 100 reads
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Don't know if you've checkout Nate Silver at 538. If I remember right, he was pretty darn accurate last time around. So far they are at 75%. At the last minute they switched from Cruz to Trump. Caucus's are hard to predict when they are close.

ChoosyCynic931 reads

Aggregate of polls shows Trump having A 11.4%  lead over his rivals, while Clinton has a 13.7% lead. On an individual state level, Trump seems unstoppable at this point, steamrolling to the nomination. Paradoxically, though she has the bigger lead, much closer for Hillary in individual states; in fact, Nevada, coming up Sat, shows she has a  puny 1% lead. I'll think she'll eke out it there & the nomination to face Trump.

OTOH, there could be some big upsets on Sat. & I could be totally full of shit, which happens to even brilliant prognosticators like me from time to time------- :)

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JackDunphy94 reads

I happen to think when it gets to a one on one with Trump on the R side, Trump will lose.

I am never wrong. Except for every prediction I have made about Trump. LOL

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GaGambler95 reads

The good news is that they are not running today and there is no guarantee that either of them, much less both of them will even be on the ballot in November.

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ChoosyCynic91 reads

Clinton leads Trump by 4.7%. Will it stay that way ? Impossible to predict.

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Timbow82 reads

Posted By: JackDunphy
I happen to think when it gets to a one on one with Trump on the R side, Trump will lose.  
   
 I am never wrong. Except for every prediction I have made about Trump. LOL

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GaGambler100 reads

Anyone who is currently supporting Bush is NOT going to switch to Trump when Jeb drops out. Most likely that support is going to go to Rubio and Trump would much rather have them cancel each other out.

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Timbow71 reads

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ChoosyCynic86 reads

by the way Trump cuts Bush down to size. Jeb! reminds me of the poor wusses/nerds that used to get beaten up in HS gym classes in the late 60's-early 70's.

-- Modified on 2/17/2016 10:44:15 AM

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JackDunphy95 reads

And btw, Trump just sounds like an idiot with all this Michael Moore shit he is slinging.

He is NOT bringing the R party together.

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mattradd87 reads

He wants to change it, and if he succeeds there will be collateral damage.

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GaGambler92 reads

and only stupid people believe that Trump is any more a "Real Republican" than I am.

Trump wants to be POTUS, what he is doing is working. Don't hate the player, hate the game. If you are going to fix anything, the first thing you have to do is get elected.

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HONDA96 reads

.......which will be an unmitigated disaster for the party. Also no chance in hell Jeb will drop out for Rubio or vice versa, the two candidates hate each other. Hillary will crawl to the finish line, battered and bruised but ready to take on the eventual GOP nominee.

Posted By: JackDunphy
And btw, Trump just sounds like an idiot with all this Michael Moore shit he is slinging.  
   
 He is NOT bringing the R party together.

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mattradd101 reads

Don't know if you've checkout Nate Silver at 538. If I remember right, he was pretty darn accurate last time around. So far they are at 75%. At the last minute they switched from Cruz to Trump. Caucus's are hard to predict when they are close.

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Fancy888884 reads

Posted By: ChoosyCynic
Aggregate of polls shows Trump having A 11.4%  lead over his rivals, while Clinton has a 13.7% lead. On an individual state level, Trump seems unstoppable at this point, steamrolling to the nomination. Paradoxically, though she has the bigger lead, much closer for Hillary in individual states; in fact, Nevada, coming up Sat, shows she has a  puny 1% lead. I'll think she'll eke out it there & the nomination to face Trump.  
   
 OTOH, there could be some big upsets on Sat. & I could be totally full of shit, which happens to even brilliant prognosticators like me from time to time------- :)

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RRO261084 reads

50% of Nevada Feels the Bern!

Related Link: Clinton, Sanders in a dead heat for Nevada

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HONDA97 reads

......None, zilich, zero! If Berbie Sander's wins the Democratic nomination, the donkey party loses in November. I'm sure most of you remember this dude.

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