In October of 2016, half a month before the 2016 election, Quinnipiac had Hillary up by 7 points.
Biden 48%
Trump 45%
3/21-3/25, +/-2.6%
Among registered women voters:
Biden 60%
Trump 35%
(In 2020 it was 57% - 42% for Biden in exit polling)
Trump: 39
Biden: 38
Kennedy: 13
Stein: 4
West: 3
If Trump wins the popular vote, he wins the Electoral College in a blow out.
The results above are from the Quinnipiac poll. The link above takes you to the RCP average.
Link to Quinnipiac’s is below. They did note the race is too close to call.
It will be interesting to see whether RFK Jr’s VP announcement gets him a bump in the polls.
In October of 2016, half a month before the 2016 election, Quinnipiac had Hillary up by 7 points.