I think the advent of Polytrack is the culprit here.....some horses like it, others don't want to run on it at all.....no telling if a Poly winner will do well on the dirt. Pyro may rebound.....tough year to pick anyone, yes.....let's see what Beyer has to say

Mr. Beyer is sometimes kind with his figs(to the bettor), but they can really be deceptive sometimes, the guy that does the pre race show at Mountaineer is a big advocate of that and I would have to agree in some cases. I guess the higher class races they are more trustworthy that cheap maiden claimers. Still I personally am more apt to bet (and win) on those cheap races than the biggies.

Street Sense came off that Poly and won last year so maybe thats an angle. Its gonna be a full field of 20 I am sure with it being so wide open.

There will defiantly not be a Triple Crown threat this year, just not enough consistency in the ranks this year.