Hit, hit with power, run, throw, and field. Jim Thome excels at one of those. He stinks at three - significantly below average for a major league ballplayer. You think that translates into first round hall of fame?
He never finished higher than 4th in MVP voting - he put together his three best seasons in 01, 02, 03, and finished 7th, 7th, and 4th; contemporaries like Bonds, ARod, Tejada, Pujols, Giambi, and Gonzalez consistently outshone him, and often unsimilar players like Suzuki, Garret Anderson, Soriano, Bret Boone, Torii Hunter, etc, took higher honors.
Hall of Famers in the 600 home run club include Hank Aaron, Babe Ruth, and Willie Mays. Nobody in their right mind would mention Jim Thome in the same sentence with those three. Those not in the Hall include ARod, Bonds, Sosa, and Griffey. ARod, Bonds, and Griffey DWARF Thome statistically - Thome has the lowest BA, HR, RBI, 2B, 3B and SB total, the most strikeouts, and is the worst fielder by far. The only player he compares with favorably as a hitter is Sosa, and Sosa was a good fielder who stole 234 bases. It's true he is a member of an exclusive club, but he is far and away the weakest member.
I actually hate running the guy down like this because I think he is a good baseball man, and a definite HOF CANDIDATE. I just think it's outrageous to call him a 1st ballot shoo-in. And I'll bet you a nickel it doesn't happen.