As hot as it's been the last couple summers,I'm betting the earth is due for another cooling period. Man can not control the earth's natural climate change, whether warming up or cooling down, no matter who claims it so or no, while being paid 600K , in the name of science, with only 2% of data. Our temperature today is close to the middle of our Holocene maximum of six thousand years ago. Mankind prospers when days are warm, only to vanish when ice covers the Earth.
"initial assesment is based on only 2% of the 1.6 billion measurements that will eventually be examined".
"the planet's surface, on average, has warmed about 0.75 degrees centigrade, (1.4 degrees fahrenheit), since the beginning of the 20th century".
I'm not getting too concerned about the results just yet.
I have no doubt whatsoever that the earth is likely warming. It has done so naturally since the beginning of it's existence. Cooling periods have occured as well. I have serious doubts that any warming is caused by man-made conditions. The latest NASA report that I've read concludes that the atmospheric contamination by CO2 is .041%. Less than one half of one percent of the atmosphere is CO2. NASA also concluded that the majority of the .041% is naturally occuring. So man-made CO2 pollution is infinitessimal.
Lot of money to be made and taxes to be collected under the guise of man-made global warming. Bought any carbon credits lately?
The most interesting part of this report to me is, who is partly financing it. Koch?
the ground that global warming deniers are experiencing as illustrated by the article.
I caught the remark you mentioned, but also the surprise the scientist reported regarding findings so far.
I also found this remark refreshing: "Ken Caldeira, an atmospheric scientist at the Carnegie Institution for Science, which contributed some funding to the Berkeley effort, said Muller's statement to Congress was "honorable" in recognizing that "previous temperature reconstructions basically got it right…. Willingness to revise views in the face of empirical data is the hallmark of the good scientific process."
The last sentence in this statement should be true, I believe, for those on both sides of the argument.
That being said, after experiencing some of my favorite fishing lakes, and rivers being decimated by acid rain, and witnessing first hand some woodlands killed by it, I think it's a tremendous problem that could be address with some of the same mechanisms proposed to address reducing CO2 emissions. I'll let the rest of your argue about global warming.
And therefore his turn towards support is supposed to be a big deal. He’s always been a believer.
He’s always been a supporter of man made GW. What he has criticized is the dishonest science used to further the cause. Here is an article of his that points out the math behind the famous “Hockey Stick” graph still creates the same up tick curve even when random data is input thus exposing the stacked deck.
He’s also been critical from the standpoint that none of the international proposals to curb GW will do squat to prevent it due to the growth of China and India.
What is being denied is that there is anything catastrophic happening. Less than a degree of warming over a century is nothing when the poles are at -40C (or F, they are the same at that temperature) most of the year.
Even at 90F year round, it would take the ice caps thousands of years to melt completely.
There is good reason to believe that the worst storms would have LESS energy if there is anthropogenic warming, since such warming would take place mostly at the poles, reducing the temperature gradient that drives those storms.
CO2 is an atmospheric fertilizer. Plants grow better when there is more CO2, and are more resistant to drought. (They have to open the pores in their leaves less to take in enough CO2, so they dry out more slowly). And warmer weather means longer growing seasons.
Unless the most alarming predictions, like 5-10 degrees of warming, or more, are true, there is nothing to be alarmed about, and no reason to reduce our energy use. In fact, there are benefits to look forward to.
This work actually confirms that warming in the past has been minor, and will likely be small in the future.
As my high school science teacher used to say, the average temperature of the universe is 4 degrees above absolute zero. Be glad things are as warm for you as they are.
Are the sea levels rising, or are the islands sinking? The land around Houston, Texas is sinking, as is the area around New Orleans. The area in northwestern Harris county, Texas, is sinking an average of 2 inches per year. Google that. Verified by researchers at the University of Houston.
Which is that global warming unquestionably exists based on historical temperature trends, but that it's still not proven what man's impact has been on this trend. The temperature of the earth fluctuates naturally. Then, there are natural events like "little Ice Age" of the 19th century, which was almost certainly caused by Krakatoa's eruption. While I think it's likely that some part of the increased global temperature is caused by man, it's uncertain as yet how much. So I think we should take reasonable steps (whatever that means!) to correct things because if we wait for absolute proof it could be too late. Sea levels are definitely rising and some Pacific islanders as well as coastal dwellers of the Indian Ocean will soon have to relocate unless it can be reversed.
I suppose it's possible that, in a given location, there's subsidence. But I believe the clear evidence is that sea levels are rising around the world. I doubt it's true that the entire land mass of the earth is subsiding, especially because the polar ice caps are both melting. So I suspect that, in this case, 2 plus 2 actually equals 4.
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