Thank you for helping me to make two important points. (2nd one first.)
Posted By: GaGambler
The US was the worlds largest producer under Trump,
This needs clarification. Producer of what? Total energy, all fossil fuels, oil, natural gas, ..."
http://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2018/oct/04/donald-trump/united-states-no-1-energy-producer-world/ "The United States is now [2018] the No. 1 energy producer in the world. That happened just recently. [Trump]"
"... Beyond the question of who’s No. 1, Trump also said that this achievement "happened just recently." ... As we noted in a 2015 fact-check, the United States has been the world’s largest oil producer since 2012 [Obama, not Trump], and the largest natural gas producer for years [Obama, not Trump]. ...
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"The United States does rank first internationally in petroleum, crude oil, and natural gas production, though it ranks third in the world in coal production. Meanwhile, only for crude oil was the No. 1 spot achieved recently. For petroleum and natural gas, the United States has ranked first for years [Obama].
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Point number 2:
Yes the world uses somewhere over 90 million BOPD, but even increases of a million or two BOPD can move prices 10-20% in just a matter of days.
Thank you for providing another example of a TIPPING POINT. Your example acknowledges that a shift of just 1/90th = 1.1% can "tip" the price of oil by 20% in a matter of days. There are other systems with even smaller tipping points.
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This is what climate science is about, too. Over millions of years, the earth reached an equilibrium between CO2 released by natural sources and sequestration of CO2 by natural sources. Beginning with the Industrial Revolution in the 1800s, anthropogenic CO2 starting adding more and more CO2 to the atmosphere than could be sequestered by natural means and that threw off the delicate equilibrium. It started out as only a tiny amount of "excess" CO2 but the CO2 burden is cumulative. For the last 10 years or so, the "excess" CO2 released by man made sources has been around 40 billion tons per year. That's only around 4% of total (natural and man made) CO2 released into the atmosphere but IT IS ENOUGH TO TIP THE SYSTEM INTO DISEQUILIBRIUM and disturb other climate factors (loss of arctic ice; loss of coral reefs; loss of snow cover and decreasing albedo; etc.) that work together, TIP BY TIP, to TIP the system further and faster.
-- Modified on 6/20/2021 6:01:27 PM