This is Rasmussen tracking. He does 300+ calls a day and normally averages 3 days worth, about a 1000 likely voters, to get a less noisy average. However there are hints of trends in the daily numbers. Presently no indication that Kamala is rising in the polls and it looks like a reversion to mean (reversion to the status quo) of Trump being ahead.
A Quinnipiac poll done just before Biden dropped out showed Trump +19 over Harris with 18-34 year olds. I'm not sure I believe it, but she probably does have a lot of catching up to do. She's 59 so not exactly the youth candidate.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll has Kamala +4, except D+6.
Two old, OLD farths.
And it's a h2h poll and not a 5 way, but I will take what I can get! lol.
The 5 way was Kamala +4
At least not on the RCP average.
Sen. Schumer says "the process has played out from the grassroots, bottom-up!"
Trump +1 head to head, Tied if including RFKjr.
Same poll has independents +14 Trump head to head, and +7 Trump with RFKjr.
NPR originally posted this poll on Sunday, but then took it down and reposted it Tuesday in order to make it look like a reasoned decision by voters rather than a knee-jerk reaction to Joe stepping down. Their polls are also passive. They tell their listeners to go to their website and take the poll, but who are the listeners of NPR? The whacked out lefties make up 80% of their audience. NPR is the most partisan and least reliable of the pollsters.
the lower she will slide. Going back 5-10 years and touting her success as a prosecutor is not going to erase her failures as VP. The more she avoids talking about her time as VP, the more the public will realize she has no experience leading anybody. Kamala is now the ONLY candidate with no experience as President and no record to run on. These polls are but a temporary "bump". If she is elected, there will still be an open border with people coming here and killing Americans. She will also spend money we don't have like a drunken sailor, sending inflation even higher.
Your lefties are getting wet panties for Kackles... Seriously what's wrong with you all?
IT'S FUCKING KACLES FOR CHRIST'S SAKE ! ! ! Are you all insane?
Personally, I can;'t believe Looooser is splooging himself to vote for a convicted felon, sexual abuser and financial fraud perp who speaks in word salad.
overturned on appeal. Anyone that has been a court-watcher for any period of time knows there were several mistakes the judge made, each one of which are grounds for reversal. Put them together and what have you got? Maybe Bibbity, Bobbity, Boo, but certainly not a conviction that will stand.
The felonies case will be thrown out on using White House conversation evidence that the SCOTUS just ruled was inadmissible. They'll have to retry the case.
Personally, I can;'t believe Looooser is splooging himself to vote for a convicted felon, sexual abuser and financial fraud perp who speaks in word salad.
I know you love the idea of a Convicted felon, you whisper it to yourself as you are drifting off to sleep but it is a BS made-up charge. Sexual Abuser? She can't even remember when it happened and lied about the dress she was wearing. Yeah also BS. Financial Fraud? more made-up BS.
BTW the ability to splooge? How long ago did that fail you? 2016 when Trump got elected? That's why you hate Trump so much? he robbed you of your manhood?
Rasmussen Reports conducted this poll over the last three days, 1000 likely voters. Trump 50, Harris 43. With independents alone Trump +20.
.
That's a problem for Kamala. She's seen as extreme and also incompetent. Not a strong sell for independent voters. Of course Republicans and Democrats will break along the usual lines, except I think some Democrats view Scranton Joe a little bit differently than Hollywood Harris. So there is that too.
Morning Consult Harris +1
Democracy Project Trump +8
Penn Trump +4, Mich Trump +3, Wisc tie -- Redfield and Winton.
Richard Baris of BigDataPolls says there is a large response bias in people answering polls since Kamala got the nod. Among women, both black and white liberal, they've become much more willing to talk to pollsters. This skews polls because it doesn't change who the were going to vote for, just more visible to pollsters.
.
Baris said that when Romney was regarded to have won the first 2012 debate against Obama, Romney surged to a four point lead in the polls. However Baris said this was merely response bias, Romney never really lead in the polls.
A blogger who answers to no one but himself is your go to for news? My gosh. It's no wonder some of you believe in Trump. It only takes one man who's balls you want to lick and you believe everything he says.
He's a pollster. He is reportung what he sees in response to his polls. He provides crosstabs, etc.
Actually it is the Harvard/Harris poll, but name unrelated to Kamala.
.
Trump 48 to Harris 45 = +3
With leans 52 to 48 = + 4
With RFK 47 to 43 = + 4
That was 2196 registered voters, collected July 26-28.
But Trump +4 in Pennsylvania. ???
will destroy the fossil fuel market and it scares the shit out of them. Michigan will come around to Trump as well because she wants nothing but electric cars, which will all be made in China if she is Prez. Once the DNC is over, she will start her slide into oblivion.
It's amazing he still has the balls to make them.
polls, it's happening faster than I predicted.
In fact, the polls show the opposite of what you so earnestly wish to believe.
At the Megan Thee Stallion concert, people started leaving within 10 minutes of Kamala starting to speak.
Fester is a fucking dumbass.
Unless of course, they steal the election for her.
Pssssst... Icky Loves Kackles! Icky Loves Kackles! Icky Loves Kackles!
It's ok, icky to have a celebrity crush. Knock yourself out, ole man!
So dream on, you poor schnook. But you'd better practice crying yourself to sleep.
And get ready to parrot "rigged election" when my dream girl wins!
You were almost right. I don't love Harris. But I do like her a lot. Especially compared to the convicted felon.
The year of this survey was 2022, mid Biden/Harris term. 
I'm incredibly happy. If the Dolt and Looooser knew the facts about me they'd kill themselves.
Rasmussen Reports does daily polling and just posted the trends they've seen. Kamala peaked a few days ago and is already in decline -- her bounce is over for now.
.
Rasmussen still sees Trump in the lead by +4 head to head after the Kamala bounce fade.
Rasmussen does daily polling but aggregates over several days to smooth out noise. He reported this morning that Trump continues to gain after Kamala's brief bump, but says Trump has lead now for the last week. Full poll will be released on Friday to see if the trend continues. At the moment though, Kamala bump is gone and she is in decline. This would be typical of response bias to major events.
That’s good news for the Trump campaign, but Kamala has two more bumps coming. She’ll get one when she announces her VP and another from the DNC Convention in Chicago.
She is leading in the big 3 Great Lake states and if that holds, she will win the election. Rove is saying that her leads will grow in the coming weeks based on the DNC and VP announcement.
.
Too early to measure the drapes but what a difference just 2 weeks has made. Trump is in trouble and keeps making every news cycle about her race, being scared to debate her, choosing a horror show as VP and trashing fellow Rs. He really is an idiot.
David Axelrod was just on CNN and said Trumps up in every swing state and Kamala’s internals are not that much better than Bidens
This is Rasmussen tracking. He does 300+ calls a day and normally averages 3 days worth, about a 1000 likely voters, to get a less noisy average. However there are hints of trends in the daily numbers. Presently no indication that Kamala is rising in the polls and it looks like a reversion to mean (reversion to the status quo) of Trump being ahead.
I should say "they" rather than "he" since Rasmussen himself sold the biz over a decade ago. Mark Mitchell is the head pollster now.
Michigan +3
Pennsylvania +2
Wisconsin +4
Marquette Law Poll released today has him leading in Wisconsin.
...even though he claims:
"I agree both candidates have serious defects and won’t be voting for either of them."
http://www.theeroticreview.com/discussion-boards/politics-and-religion-39/re-actually-with-yes-however-trump-fill-in-the-blank-443363?page=1
Could it be because he's...wait for it...a partisan hack?
Yeah, sure, he's not voting for Trump even though he sucks Trump's dick on this board every day.
He TOLD us so himself!!!
*rubs ChicKie on his tummy*
When he takes a position on something, he stands rock solid and never wavers. EXCEPT...when he makes a prediction:
"Early prediction, subject to change."
http://www.theeroticreview.com/discussion-boards/politics-and-religion-39/youve-got-third-party-at-3-444824?page=
"subject to change" - ROFLMAO!! Predictions aren't "subject to change." They PREDICT what will happen before it occurs,
Did Nostradamus ever say his predictions were "subject to change?" Of course not! But our very own Nostra-dumbass sure did!
Trump +5
1800 likely voters, taken Aug 4-7.
Also RFKjr has collapsed to 3%.
That's actually danger territory for Democrats since California and New York give the Democrats about a 3% advantage nationally. That means they are underwater in the rest of the country.
Apparently not. Also, Rasmussen is notoriously Republican biased.
Trump +2 in Pennsylvania
Trump +1 in Wisconsin
Harris +2 in Michigan
.
A reminder, Harris has to win all three of these states.