Politics and Religion

The 1980's called. They want their foreign policy back. (eom)
willywonka4u 22 Reviews 173 reads
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Nate Silver gives Obama a 97.9% chance of winning Michigan. A 97.9% chance of winning Minnesota. And a 95.4% chance of winning Pennsylvania.

The Minnesota polling average is 50.3% Obama, 43.5% Romney. The Michigan polling average is 49.0% Obama, 43.8% Romney. The polling average for Pennsylvania is 49.0% Obama, 44.2% Romney.

I should note that elections have never swung to the losing guy if he's losing by more than 3% of the polling average vote.

Furthermore, Obama has continually been doing better in the polls since the first debate. Nate Silver is now giving Obama a 77.4% chance of winning with less than a week to go.

The biggest surprise to me is that it appears that Obama has solidified his lead in Colorado and Virginia, and is gaining ground quickly in Florida. I figured that the likelihood of Obama winning Florida was slim, but it beginning to look like he might barely win it. If that's the case, then I will be wrong that Obama wins with 303 electoral votes. Instead he'll win with 332.

Maybe the fact that Obama's shown that he knows how to handle the wreckage of a hurricane has changed a few minds in Florida.

Face it, Romney is toast. Stop getting your hopes up. He's already lost.

-- Modified on 10/31/2012 5:33:20 AM

nuguy46 178 reads
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5 / 7
nuguy46 214 reads
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6 / 7
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