Harris on a steady decline in Nate Silver election prediction model.  Finally flips back to Trump.

of these swimming in the ocean once.  Lol

The red + markups are how many points Morning Consult has swung their state polls toward Trump in the last month.

announced yesterday that Israel is our friend and Iran is the biggest threat in the world, Michigan may be a landslide for Trump as the Palestinian-Americans stay home and don't vote.  

In fact, at this very minute, she leads in PA, WI and NC per the RCP multi-candidate polling. That would give her 271 EVs. Her stance she took on Israel may hurt her in Michigan but may very well help her in the other toss up states.

538 shows Trump ahead in NC today, I'd be completely shocked if NC didn't go Red after the poorly handled storm response from the current administration. Those folks are very unhappy about a $750 check to our own residents but millions to Ukraine.  

I have to point out that in modern history PA, MI and WI almost always vote the same way.  I think one candidate is going to take all three.

Spin is what you did, i.e. saying what people in NC think about the storm response. In either case, we are talking about fractions of a percent. Any of these 7 states could go either way. It's a jump ball election.

That's the differencxe this year. It's historic, in terms if the tightness of the polls. Your use of the word "almost" also places ambiguity into the mix.

She could very well lose Michigan. And Wisconsin. Georgia? Forget about it? North Carolina? That was her best bet for a swing state. Now that the hurricane response was a shit show, forget about it. Virginia’s governor will make sure there’s no voting funny business. She might not even get Virginia. Maine is looking better for Trump. Colorado would be more solidly Dem if Venezuelan gangs there weren’t taking over apartment buildings. Arizona, forget about it. Nevada? She never had a chance.  

It's just as valid to say Trump "could very well lose Michigan. And Wisconsin." Oh, and the Republican Mayor of Aurora says no apartment buildings have been taken over. Arizona's a toss-up and so is Nevada.
So, no, Trump hasn't "already won." I say Wanker's a Russian troll.

The spin comment was directed at the NC residents view of the dems handling of the storm.  

"Republican Mayor of Aurora says no apartment buildings have been taken over." TATL absolutely HATES facts! Which...is why she's appropriately named TATL.  

The "handling of the storm" beliefs come from local, state and federal responses, as all three handle post-storm management so it isnt "dems handling the storm", as it is a bi-partisan effort. Only a sycophant would think they would only judge the federal response.

It makes zero sense to a someone turning a blind eye.  
I would dare you to go to any resident of North Carolina and tell them it makes "zero sense" good luck.  

I had to school you about catastrophic response, and how its done in a bipartisan fashion, and your response is "that's spin." Oh, ok. lol.

Well for one thing, most people here know You're an idiot. There's no way you live on this planet.  

First of all, Aurora's Mayor has consistently said EXACTLY what I said.
Second the new Police Chief does NOT say "different."
Or don't you believe Fox News?
But by all means, keep on lying, getting busted and embarrassing yourself.
It's what you do.
Loser.

Try again Karen....

compare Desantis' response to Biden's.  Desantis "staged" the response prior to the actual storm hitting, which no one from FEMA showed up until three days later.  Area's other than Florida that are depending on Federal response still don't have satisfactory results like they do in Florida.  

the "shy" Trump voters.  Where Trump is tied or behind by one point, it is really a commanding lead.  Where Trump is ahead by three, it's going to be a landslide.  Shy Trump voters account for most of the difference between 100% and the combined response of those who committed to one candidate or the other, which is usually in the 6-10% range.  

Most non-partisan hacks agree that, while the "shy" Trump vote was a factor in 2016 and 2020, polling firms have adjusted for that and it's no longer a factor.
 But dream on.

admitted they are adjusting for it are Insider Advantage and Trafalger.  

Are you really this stupid? Or just lying? Or both? I'd say the latter.
The Chief said they can't even identify most perps as being members of a Venezuelan gang.
Did The SPOAT even watch his own video? If he did he's even stupider than anyone imagined.
The SPOAT is a militant, lying dimwit.
He is the Greatest Obtuse Liar In All TER History:
SPOAT = GOLIATH. Goliath = Huge Liar.

Ok, you didn't even have to read it and you still miss it. Try watching it sober and let us know.  

Down from Harris +1.6 in their previous poll.  
.
Also RMG Research national, Harris +1.  (The real Scott Rasmussen.)  Previously Harris +3.
.
Are there any polls that are trending in favor of Harris?  Honest question.

I watched it until around 9 minutes when the Chief (no, not the "Chef" as you so stupidly said) put up one of his detectives. Didn't you say the Chief was the one who said it? Yes, you did. And he didn't remotely say what you claim. So all you've done is prove yourself a lying dimwit and a toxic pinhead.
And no one but you cares how much I post here. That's all you've got?
Sad.
GOLIATH for sure.

As many times as he posts thats how many. He either didn't watch or too dumb or drunk to hear it. Oh well.... we try. You can't fix stupid.

You got that right. We've been trying to fix you for a long time but have finally given up.... There's no hope!!

MI Harris +8
WI Harris +2
PA Harris +1
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Unweighted.  See disclaimer pic.

"The media has begun discussing the phenomena of 'secret Trump voters' — people who publicly say they'd never vote for Trump, but then when they go in the voting booth, they do. It's a small group. They're called the 'Biden family.'" -- Jim Gaffigan