Trump got the highest vote count (in unfavorable weather too), the largest spread, and greatest percentage of the vote, winning all 99 counties -- in contested Iowa GOP presidential caucus history.
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Vivek drops out, endorses and will campaign with Trump (he's no doubt seeking an administration job.)
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Haley comes in third and has declared war on Iowa.
32 minutes into the caucuses. Word from the white house is that Biden just soiled himself. Lol
As for Biden soiling himself, he does that every night anyway.
Also, what you missed is Biden WANTS to run against Trump because Trump is the only Republican candidate Biden has a prayer of beating. Do you honestly not get that?
Biden has a prayer of beating Trump after a debate? It's more likely that at the DNC convention, Biden will be dumped by the Dems and someone else will be he nominee. Even Axelrod is hinting at this.
If Biden is still in it, there will be no debate. Biden will say he will not debate insurrectionists.
have made Trump the nominee, Biden will be toast and lose by a landslide.
There's an old saying, better to say nothing and be presumed demented than to open your mouth and remove all doubt.
Most of this country IS SICK IF YOUR SHIT!!!
People hate being broke…
People hate that our leadership is full of shit…
People hate that we are a laughing stock on the world stage…
And all your gaslighting from the lame stream media is being seen through.
Your not winning on the issues
Your only hope is to steal it again
As for Biden soiling himself, he does that every night anyway.
Also, what you missed is Biden WANTS to run against Trump because Trump is the only Republican candidate Biden has a prayer of beating. Do you honestly not get that?
Also Joe barely knows what flavor of ice cream he wants. So who’s pushing him to stay in the fight? Dear sweet Jill? Is she the one who desperately wants to stay in the White House?
A certain Bozo pal of yours will start calling you "Mr. Repeat."
Trump got the highest vote count (in unfavorable weather too), the largest spread, and greatest percentage of the vote, winning all 99 counties -- in contested Iowa GOP presidential caucus history.
.
Vivek drops out, endorses and will campaign with Trump (he's no doubt seeking an administration job.)
.
Haley comes in third and has declared war on Iowa.
"(in unfavorable weather too)" - I haven't read any expert opinions yet, but my opinion is that unfavorable weather *favored Trump* substantially. Not the win, per se, but by exaggeration of the per centages. I'll help you see it with some numbers. I think that T supporters are the most rabid and a high percentage will head to the polls naked if it will get them on TV or TikTok. I think that DeS, NH, and V voters are less committed in the circumstance ("T will win anyway. Why bother.") and more likely to stay home.
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You can pick your own numbers and per centages. I approxomate that 90% of T supporters turned out 80% of DeS and 80% of NH supporters showed up and 70% of V supporters showed up. You can scale my "total supporters" by any factor you like. "510" can be "5,100", "51,000" or any # as long the others are scaled the same. 90% of 510 is 459 who voters turn out; 80% of 210 is 168; etc..
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Let's say that in good weather or full turnout, it's
Full: T 510, DeS 210 NH 190, V 77 number of fair weather voters but
Orig: T 51.6% DeS 21.2% NH 19.2% V 7.8% per centage of voters if they all turnout
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Then: T 90% DeS 80% NH 80% V 70% PER CENTAGE TURNOUT for each candidate
Then: T 459 DeS 168 NH 152 V 54 actual foul weather voters
Then: T 55.1% DeS 20.1% NH 18.2% V 6.4% PER CENTAGE OF TOTAL VOTES
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If good weather would have equalized turnout to 100%, then T's original and final per centage would have been 51.6. As the number of voters drops unequally, T's margin of victory goes up, to 55.1%.
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My "demo" numbers don't match the actual numbers. I should have started with the actual turnouts and per centages and worked backwards, but I didn't. I was just trying to give a short arithmetic lesson about what happens when the weather affects voter turnout unequally.
Trump got the highest vote count (in unfavorable weather too), the largest spread, and greatest percentage of the vote, winning all 99 counties -- in contested Iowa GOP presidential caucus history.
.
Vivek drops out, endorses and will campaign with Trump (he's no doubt seeking an administration job.)
.
Haley comes in third and has declared war on Iowa.
Bottom line, as Nicky noted, the polls were right. No convoluted “Imp’s Weather Formula” would significantly change the results. That said, if you honestly want further discussion on your theory, hit the edit button and create a table that makes some sense of your theory.
I couldn't make sense of it either, and on some days, I'm a numbers guy. Lol
Yeah, pre-caucus polls really came close to the actual vote so it looks like whatever effect weather had, it didn't really change the distribution. We do know that Haley had a lot of people come in just to vote for her in the primary but intend to vote for Biden in the general election.
Update, looks like Trump only won 98 of 99 counties. Haley won one county by 1 vote -- Trump is finished!!!
Another look at the numbers.
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/iowa-caucus-turnout-2024/
Iowa caucus turnout for 2024 and how it compares to previous years.
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"Iowa caucus voter turnout for 2024: The 110,000 voters who participated in the 2024 cacuses accounts for just under 15% of the state's 752,000 registered Republicans."
... which means that Trump's 56,200 votes represent 7.5% of Iowa's registered Repubs, and the most fanatical 7.5% at that. What will the majority of Iowa's Repubs do in the General Election? I'm sure that there will polls and predictions about that.
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"Trump won more than 56,000 votes in Iowa on Monday night, meaning he walked away with more than 50% of all ballots cast. He likely will take 20 delegates out of the 40 at stake. DeSantis will pick up at least eight delegates and Haley at least seven. There are 1,215 delegates needed to win the nomination."
Trump got the highest vote count (in unfavorable weather too), the largest spread, and greatest percentage of the vote, winning all 99 counties -- in contested Iowa GOP presidential caucus history.
.
Vivek drops out, endorses and will campaign with Trump (he's no doubt seeking an administration job.)
.
Haley comes in third and has declared war on Iowa.