Assuming it is Biden vs Trump on election night, there might be an early indication that Trump has lost or won.  If Trump loses any state he won in 2020, then he'll probably go on to lose.  Otherwise, if Trump wins Pennsylvania (presuming it is called before more western states) he'll probably win.  He could lose Pennsylvania and still win with other states, but winning Pennsylvania is pretty much a sure win.

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PA is trending Trump, and Bloomberg has him up 6 points. If he’s polling with a 6 point lead come election time, the decision desks will be calling the PA race early.

And Joe is actually leading in the polling average in PA as I speak. Barely, but he is ahead. Nice job cherry picking.

well "barely" doesn't look all that good for him now, does it. Thanks for pointing it out.

 
You gonna vote for him in November?

The way this goes is Biden is out while in office (death or 25th amendment) and you get Kackles  😟😕🙁☹️😣😖😫😩

Then you’re stuck with her  😯😦😧😮😲😵😵‍💫

No amount of cajoling will then get you your fantasy of a big Mike run for president, it ain’t happening!

Kackles isn’t going step down either, not “for the good of the party or the nation!” Not for anything! Give up that dream right now.  

That’s the calculus you leftists need to start wrapping your heads around.  

P.S. That stiff armed stroll at the border the other day? That was very shocking. Seriously, this is happening before the election and it’s probably happening around May, maybe June. Hell maybe sooner.

The realclearpolitics average is using +Biden results that are a month old.  The latest two polls have Trump well ahead.

They'll take Harris if Biden wins the 2024 election.  There's no way, though, that she'd let others pull the strings like Joe does.  

I didn’t say Trump was leading in the RCP average, I pointed out that he was trending. My point stands that if Trump is up big (as he is in the most recent poll), the decision desks will be able to make an early call.

It's a toss up state. Has been for decades. Not sure why this year would be any different.

Obama/Romney was an early call with 22% of the vote in.