So if Biden was still in, do you think he'd pick Biden to win? I'm asking what is the difference in his keys between Biden and Harris. Some keys have no historical analog of a switcheroo three months before the election. There is no reason in 1981 when he came up with the keys that he could or would anticipate that as a factor to be included.
The Hill weighs in with 276 for Kamala at this time. Latest Emerson state polls showing Texas and Florida MUCH closer than expected. . Then you have the massive influx of cash towards Kamala, numerous well known Republicans endorsing her, and the incredible election predictor Alan Lichtman saying she will win. . If that all weren't enough, Goldman Sachs has said Kamala will be better for the economy than Trump! . Long way to go but I am sure it's white knuckle time inside Team Trump. lol. . http://www.reuters.com/world/us/goldman-sachs-sees-biggest-boost-us-economy-harris-win-2024-09-04/
Lichtman model doesn't seem very objective. . Can anyone explain how Lichtman differentiates between Biden and Harris. Because Biden was headed for a massive loss. Which of Lichtman's keys accounts for the difference with Harris?
He has predicted every popular vote correct for 40 years! He has predicted numerous Rs winning including Trump in 2016! Good god man wise up! . Watch and weep Lester.
Now this guy has been doing this since the 1800's. His model in based on "keys"...and his system has worked for 40 years so... So you have your Nate Silver and then there's Lichtman
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