This shouldn't really be news to anyone, but I ran across this piece and thought I should post it because GaG and I had a discussion about this a few days back.
What I'd like to note here is that Obama's support among Republicans have not gone up after this tax deal. And now among independents, Mitt Romney now has higher approval ratings than Obama.
I would also note that according to Olbermann the other night, Bernie Sander's filibuster of this tax deal crashed the Senate's server.
The link I furnished below, an average of 6 polls, shows BHO's approval rating somewhat higher . While the results aren't great, certainly higher than ratings that Reagan & Clinton had at comparable stages in their Presidency.
Too early to gauge results of a tax plan that hasn't even passed the House yet & signed into law, but poll I saw on MSNBC showed 68% of the public approving of the poll ( including 68% of Dems ).
Romney, at this stage, only leads BHO by 2 %, which falls into the margin of error. Still, IMO, I think Romney has best chance of beating BHO in '12.
All that being said, there are parts of the tax plan I hate, particulary the estate tax exemption on estates 5 million & over; fucking awful !
Let's be realistic. If Obama is the Democrat candidate for Pres in 2012; even Democrats who aren't fond of him would still vote for him against, say, a Pat Buchanan as the Republican nominee. Yes?
Support requires agreement across MANY issues; whereas lack of support can be engendered over a single issue.
Nevertheless, when people vote, they usually vote for what they consider "least bad."
...while it's certainly true that should Obama be the nominee in 2012, many Democrats would vote for him. However, his willingness to negotiate down from a position of power has gone from irritating the base to outright pissing them off. Many will opt to just stay home.
That's already happened. 70% of new voters who voted for Obama in 2008 decided to stay home in 2010. Without the support of the youth vote, the Democrats can't win elections.
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