First and probably biggest loser -- Selzer.

Silver boasted that he ran 80,000 simulations last night with Harris winning 40,013 of them. Which means he basically just said the race was a 50/50 toss up. What analysis did he use to come to this conclusion? None. You could have come to the same conclusion by saying the race could be decided by a coin toss.

agree on.  A hot young provider just left my house after a two-hour session and I had the TV turned off.  I turn it back on and was aghast at how much things changed in two hours.  When she got here, early returns looked bleak for Trump, but now, the three he needs, PA, NC and GA all look pretty good plus, he is leading in WI.

What a charlatan.  It's not that the idea of his "keys" are totally invalid in principle. It's that he subjectively weighted them.

Honest question. How did you think it was going to be your night?  
How?
How on God's green earth did you legitimately think that people would go for another 4 years of the most poorly ran US in our lifetime? Not opinion.... fact.
How did you think that?  
In what world could you possibly live to even remotely think that majority of sensible thinking Americans hasn't had enough?

The lefties (such as the ones that regularly post on this board) are so consumed with their "superiority" that it simply makes them incapable of understanding ANY points of view other than theirs. And the arrogant hubris consistently demonstrated by the Dem elites was critical in leading to their defeat last night!

Liberals and leftists believe themselves to be both intellectually and morally superior to their opponents and it costs them votes. People don't want to talk politics because they know the Libs are going to try to shame them or insult them so they just don't talk politics. As a result the Democrats don't realize they can no longer communicate with large swaths of the population.  

Both Silver and Lichman started trying to hedge their positions, by leaving themselves a back door if Harris lost.  They said things like Trump COULD have a HUGE upset, thereby setting themselves up to claim a pass for being wrong.  

State Forecasting Accuracy by Organization, Battleground States Only.

The worst state for AtlasIntel was Nevada where they were only off by 1.7%.  I don't know what sorcery they use, but they are fantastic.
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Actual results as of now (vs @atlas_intel poll)
NC: Trump +3.4 (+3.4)
GA: Trump +2.2 (+2.5)
AZ: Trump +5.5 (+6.5)
NV: Trump +3.8 (+5.5)
WI: Trump +1.0 (+1.0)
MI: Trump +1.5 (+1.5)
PA: Trump +1.9 (+1.8)

Look where 538 ended up.  haha.
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There is a definite skew with more liberal pollsters getting it wrong whereas more conservative pollsters getting it right.

Great job NC, GA , AZ and NV. That shows you without any argument of how people have had enough of this ridiculous nonsense that we've endured for 4 years.

Jimmy Carter can go to his grave knowing HE was not the worst president in history.  

Pearl Harbor, 9/11, and the sinking of the Titanic were all historic.