Normally the party who wins the WH usually loses House seats.......But not this time. There's going to be a price to pay for the 126 House Republican who signed the brief. Most that signed were in safe districts so they won't get hit. But there's a few where the blow back could be devastating. Look at the editorial of the Orlando Sentinel where they apologising for endorsing U.S. Rep. Michael Waltz. This is the beginning, as this will be used against them in 2022.The Republican party is anti Democracy. So this is my No guts no glory post....see me in 2022
While the 126 Republicans signed on to support the Texas Case, I don't think the fallout will be anywhere near what you are predicting. Now I am a Social Liberal and Fiscal Conservative who will not join either Party. I am truly a POX ON BOTH HOUSES Type of mindset. Though I admit I did not vote TRUMP in 2016 and after 4 years of his exhaustive behavior did VOTE BIDEN in 2020. More like I would have voted for a Brown Paper bag over Trump. Most of the Congressmen and women who signed on to Support the Publicity (Texas) Stunt are terrified (Yes they are weak nebbishes) of a 2022 Primary Challenge. Not sure how many if any are in real danger of losing their 2022 Bid for the next Congress. The Republican Party is splintered and most likely there are more Trump Republicans than old guard Republicans in the House. Notice most of the Repub Senators stayed away from the Amicus Brief and Trump endorsement of this Particular Challenge. IMHO This was more about TEXAS AG PAXTON putting forth his hope for a Pardon in the ongoing investigation into the AG's Bribe Allegations (which are probably more than just allegations) for which, without a Pardon, there is a good chance they will finish his Political Career. Now that would not be a bad thing. As the Younger Voters of Texas Mature Texas will become a Purple State in the next 8-12 years. If it turns Blue, the Republicans can forget about winning anymore National Elections.
but I doubt that Democrats pick up 26+ house seat. Two years is a long time for any prediction but American have a short term memory span and this will amount to insignificant move by people who signed this dumb petition.
In next two years, Biden has a chance to normalize the nation from extreme right and if he manage the economic recovery from Covid-19 and if he manage to bring a temperature down, I could see that Democrat pick up big chunk seats in places where moderate district were lost to GOP but i could see that the Republican losing senate in WI, PA and even maybe Iowa but I doubt that extreme wing of the Democrat sit quiet on sideline. I predict that AOC, Talib and Omar cause havoc on the Democrats in next two years and demur losing badly in the mid term. While I consider Kathie Porter as very progressive also but she make sense when you listen to her and she does excellent job in delivering her messages unlike representative Omar and Talib. OAC on other hand is polar opposite of Trump; her biggest strength is also her biggest weakness and she does not when to shut up sometimes shiva can get worse as she stays in power. A lot of people give lots of credit to how good of politician AOC is and it noteworthy to mention that she does do her homework in Congress and she is always prepared but she is from a very safe blue district in NY and she won 68.2% of votes in 2020 whereas Al Gore won 70% (2000), Kerry won 74% (2004), Clinton won 77% (2016) and Obama over 88%-so AOC is well below liking of normal range of Democrat liking but she will take her temperature and noise level to next and she will cause havoc in Democratic congress in 2021-2022. While my views are socially liberal and fiscally conservative, I fear that the Democrat will self destruct in 2022 before the election AGAIN.
The GOP Reps who signed the amicus are all in safe seats. For the more moderate and swing seats, the GOP crafted a winning strategy for 2020 that could be even more successful in a non-Trump, non-presidential election year. Specifically, harp on the threat of the progressive wing of the party, and continue to run increasing numbers of women in the general election.
It’s too early to start predicting what number of seats a party will gain, but never too early to say a prediction of Dems +25 is never going to come to fruition.
The Variables between now and Nov. 2022 are numerous. History says the DEMS lose seats. Yet we are in uncharted times with COVID-19. Assuming we come out of it with the Vaccines the more determinant factor will be the Economy (Not the Stock Market). The Progressive Wing of the Democrat Party will not tone down their Rhetoric. But it how the Moderates and Common Sense Democrats respond that will be more telling. Equally important will be the messaging and Ground Game which the Democrats did not have in 2020. Right now, none of us knows which way 2022 will go. But I admit it is entertaining to venture our opinions. Let us not forget, the probability is the Republican Party will be in control of the Senate (While it is not impossible that WARNOCK & OSSOFF win the 1/5/2021 Runoffs, it is highly unlikely as GA Turnout will be significantly lower. Lower Turnout in GA does heavily favor the LOEFFLER & PERDUE). Now if the Democrats can either get some moderate Legislation passed or paint a strong enough picture that the only elements stopping more progress are the Republicans, the Dems have a more realistic chance of gaining seats in the House and Possibly taking back the Senate. If the Public only sees the 1st 2 years of Biden as a failure and blame the Dems, then the "D" will end up losing control of the House and won't get the Senate back either. Whew, Two years is a long time that goes by very quickly.
Re: You're "socially liberal and fiscally conservative?" GlugGlug says he is too... So why is GlugGlug such a Trumptard? Maybe the "fiscal" is a helluva lot more important to him than the "social."
LOL!!! To compare me with GlugGlug after reading all my posts, it shows how off you are! It is an insult. GlugGlug is a CLUELESS who knows how to type. While I generally 90% of time vote with Democrat, I am critical of them on not seizing opportunity in 2020 and fucking up so badly on not winning the senate. You really have to hand it to Chuck Schumer-he is useless.
2) However, I think it could be different this time because Moscow Mitch is going to block EVERYTHING Joe wants to do. I'll be AMAZED if we get ANY stimulus deal.....either before the end of the year or after. That's going to be hard to forget.
Also, I have a feeling Breyer will retire. If Moscow Mitch blocks that, especially for 3 years, I think there will be hell to pay as people are sick of the hypocrisy. They already own the fucking Court. Blocking Breyer's replacement would be over-the-top bullshit. It won't happen in a trillion years, but I'd LOVE to see some moderate Righty Senator say, "Fuck you, Mitch. I'm switching Parties. We have to start fixing this country.....especially after Dictator Donnie did so much to destroy it." Fantasy Land...but a guy can dream.
People complain about Trump but Moscow Mitch is mother of all EVIL. He will tear this country to pieces and he will have ZERO REGRET ABOUT DOING SO. And don't be NAIVE-I won't put past him to block Biden SCOTUS NOMINEE and GOP won't do shit about it. If the past four years of GOP behaviors have not shown you what crisis we are facing, you are living in fantasy land. Trump really exposed the depth of GOP bench and what they have plan for this country. The war is just starting.
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