Why is this man smiling ? Because there are still numerous GOP debates left on the calendar.

2 very highly reputbale prediction market agencies.

If you find accompanying article bullshit, your call.

Lastly, Ini, when you play "devil's advocate" you even look more disingenuous than I've been accused of being here------

& if you wanna find me "offensive", go ahead--------------everyone else has on this board from time to time-------------LMAO !

not saying they're infallible----

I mean, I know you like to quote polls and I do believe they have some utility and relevance.  But this "pri" diction is based on certain un-named market factors?  OK, the guy has a PhD in economics but I ain't buyin' it.
That's not to say I don't agree with the basic premise that BHO has a better chance of re-election against Newt than against Romney.

those betting futures markets on presidential electshuns are notoreeusly uncanny whene it cums to predictting the winner. Theyres sum truth to tha sayeing that smart money knows how to finde the winners everi time.

Re: If Intrade is always that accurate then they must be ultra rich EOM

I knows quites a fewe wall streeter types who trade on there fore a littles sides money actions. Yew can makes sum good $$$ if yew knowe whud yur doin on there.

Posted By: Timbow

Posted By: Priapus53

2 very highly reputbale prediction market agencies.

If you find accompanying article bullshit, your call.

Lastly, Ini, when you play "devil's advocate" you even look more disingenuous than I've been accused of being here------

-- Modified on 1/24/2012 2:30:51 AM

no need to find that "disingenuous."

At about this time in 2008, Intrade also predicted that Rudy Giuliani would take the GOP nomination, and Hillary Clinton would take the Democrat nomination.  

At that time, Obama was still a nobody, and McCain was not doing too well against the other republicans.