Politics and Religion

Increase or decrease? Zanzibar is 650 square miles...
BigPapasan 3 Reviews 308 reads
posted

...wait, I just calculated it. Giving everyone 2 square feet, it comes out to a world population of about 9 billion.

When the book was written there were 3 billion people and today there are 7 billion.  9 billion is just around the corner.

-- Modified on 4/26/2013 2:46:27 AM

Panthera121694 reads

The book is actually a science fiction novel written by John Brunner in 1969. The setting of the novel was a vision for 2010. I don't have a link, but here are the predictions from the book. They are not all spot on, but check them out.

(1) Random acts of violence by crazy individuals, often taking place at schools, plague society in Stand on Zanzibar.

(2) The other major source of instability and violence comes from terrorists, who are now a major threat to U.S. interests, and even manage to attack buildings within the United States.

(3) Prices have increased sixfold between 1960 and 2010 because of inflation. (The actual increase in U.S. prices during that period was sevenfold, but Brunner was close.)

(4) The most powerful U.S. rival is no longer the Soviet Union, but China. However, much of the competition between the U.S. and Asia is played out in economics, trade, and technology instead of overt warfare.

(5) Europeans have formed a union of nations to improve their economic prospects and influence on world affairs. In international issues, Britain tends to side with the U.S., but other countries in Europe are often critical of U.S. initiatives.

(6) Africa still trails far behind the rest of the world in economic development, and Israel remains the epicenter of tensions in the Middle East.

(7) Although some people still get married, many in the younger generation now prefer short-term hookups without long-term commitment.

(8) Gay and bisexual lifestyles have gone mainstream, and pharmaceuticals to improve sexual performance are widely used (and even advertised in the media).

(9) Many decades of affirmative action have brought blacks into positions of power, but racial tensions still simmer throughout society.

(10) Motor vehicles increasingly run on electric fuel cells. Honda (primarily known as a motorcycle manufacturers when Brunner wrote his book) is a major supplier, along with General Motors.

(11) Yet Detroit has not prospered, and is almost a ghost town because of all the shuttered factories. However. a new kind of music — with an uncanny resemblance to the actual Detroit techno movement of the 1990s — has sprung up in the city.

(12) TV news channels have now gone global via satellite.

(13) TiVo-type systems allow people to view TV programs according to their own schedule.

(14) Inflight entertainment systems on planes now include video programs and news accessible on individual screens at each seat.

(15) People rely on avatars to represent themselves on video screens — Brunner calls these images, which either can look like you or take on another appearance you select — “Mr. and Mrs. Everywhere.”

(16) Computer documents are generated with laser printers.

(17) A social and political backlash has marginalized tobacco, but marijuana has been decriminalized

And the key to the cryptic title-that the population would increase to where humanity would cover the island of Zanzibar if everyone stood side by side.

...wait, I just calculated it. Giving everyone 2 square feet, it comes out to a world population of about 9 billion.

When the book was written there were 3 billion people and today there are 7 billion.  9 billion is just around the corner.

-- Modified on 4/26/2013 2:46:27 AM

They measure Zanzibar at 600 square miles and opine that he got this one right. Pretty remarkable considering Bruner did not foresee that China would by law limit family size and the cultural demographics would result in a decline in the birth rate in mature countries like Japan.

"The primary engine of the novel's story is overpopulation and its projected consequences,[2] and the title refers to an early twentieth-century claim that the world's population could fit onto the Isle of Wight – which has an area of 381 square kilometres (147 sq mi) – if they were all standing upright. Brunner remarked that the growing world population now required a larger island; the 3.5 billion people living in 1968 could stand together on the Isle of Man (area 572 square kilometres (221 sq mi)), while the 7 billion people who he (correctly) projected would be alive in 2010 would need to stand on Zanzibar (area 1,554 square kilometres (600 sq mi)).[4] Throughout the book, the image of the entire human race standing shoulder-to-shoulder on a small island is a metaphor for a crowded world."

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Posted By: BigPapasan
...wait, I just calculated it. Giving everyone 2 square feet, it comes out to a world population of about 9 billion.

When the book was written there were 3 billion people and today there are 7 billion.  9 billion is just around the corner.

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