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For what it's worth, Luntz has predicted a Kamala victory. How did you forget THAT? eomconfused_smile
RespectfulRobert 61 reads
posted


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RespectfulRobert315 reads

Brand New and all post debate:
Wisconsin (AARP): Harris +1
Michigan (Quinnipiac): Harris +5
Pennsylvania (Quinnipiac): Harris +5
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Harris now leads RCP again with 276 EVs.

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lester_prairie53 reads

Since you like to quote Frank Luntz,
"For what it’s worth, the Quinnipiac Poll Pennsylvania poll had Biden up +8 in August 2020 and +13 in October 2020. (Biden won the state by +1.2)" -- Frank Luntz

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RespectfulRobert62 reads

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coeur-de-lion55 reads

or are you purposely pretending to be stupid?

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RespectfulRobert46 reads

It doesn't get dumber than that.

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lester_prairie64 reads

Dead last

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RespectfulRobert64 reads

They are ranked 17th Lester. Thanks 262 spots ahead of the far right wing Trafalgar Group you use so often. Please stop lying. You look so foolish.  
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CKS, NOW do you see how dishonest Lester is? This is the 3rd or 4th time I have had to correct Lester on this point as he is using "preliminary estimates" and not using CURRENT ratings. Ugh. At this point he is out Willying Willy on lies and misrepresentations.

Related Link: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

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lester_prairie51 reads

You can see in the graph above that Trafalagar is rated #2.  

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RespectfulRobert56 reads

I posted the current, accurate data and you used old and "preliminary estimates." Sucks to be you.

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lester_prairie46 reads

Apples and oranges.  You published Disney Corp's preferred pollster list.  I published FiveThirtyEight's polling vs actual outcome survey.  Mine is hard facts.  Yours is Disney's corporate interests.  Remember, Disney kicked Nate Silver out of FiveThirtyEight about a year ago -- he wouldn't bend the knee to their corporate interests vs honest polling.

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RespectfulRobert54 reads

Yours, AGAIN, was a "preliminary estimate" done FOUR years ago. There has been tons of elections and polls since then and Trafalgar is a SELF ADMITTED right wing operation and now ranked at a horrid 279th!  
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And do I need to remind you AGAIN you used 538 just a few weeks ago to knock Kamala? You are totally busted Lester and a guy that has to lie to keep all the other lies straight.  
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Btw, didn't you just mock Nicky the other day, personally, and then brought your mom into it? Look in the mirror Lester. You are a disgrace.

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lester_prairie66 reads

There have not been "tons of" presidential elections since 2020. In fact there have been zero presidential elections since 2020. The chart represents the polling results of the last presidential election.

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RespectfulRobert52 reads

I never said "presidential" elections, Lester now did I? But keep flailing trying to explain to everyone why you are using outdated preliminary results and not the current, full results. With each rebuttal you just look more and more dishonest and totally unhinged.

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willywonka4u62 reads

Trump is going to win New York.

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inicky4656 reads

In the most recent poll, Harris had a 14 point lead in NY. And that was before the debate.

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RespectfulRobert51 reads

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inicky4659 reads

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lester_prairie49 reads

The Fox News Poll has Trump +2 (50 to 48) in the Battleground states:  Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

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RespectfulRobert60 reads

Fox has Kamala LEADING Trump on the top line for the FIRST time and she now leads him with Independents by TWELVE per Fox! No wonder you don't like using links. They would destroy your point!

Related Link: http://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-tops-trump-two-points

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willywonka4u60 reads

Trump is going to win. It won’t be close. Ultimately, there was no point in Biden dropping out. The results are going to be the same. Which is what I said at the time.

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Hpygolky61 reads

Those are the issues that drives the Trump  campaign  
The Springfield situation and how they’ve tried to exploit it is backfiring

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willywonka4u55 reads

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lester_prairie81 reads

46 to 46. 2047 likely voters. Sept 11-16.

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inicky4650 reads

And naturally, our Head Hack is ignoring the other Times poll of PA which has Harris leading 50 to 46 in that key state.
Read it and weep, Fester.

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lester_prairie55 reads

No apparent trend toward Kamala like some other polls show.  Similar stability the the above NY Times poll or the AtlasIntel poll which showed a stable race for the last month.  Beware polls with wild swings.

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lester_prairie60 reads

AZ: Trump 49% Harris 48%
GA: Trump 50%, Harris 47%
MI: Harris 49%, Trump 47%
NC: Harris 49%, Trump 48%
NV:  Harris 48%, Trump 48%
PA: Trump 48%, Harris 47%
WI: Trump 49%, Harris 48%
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Tight races, all.

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