Politics and Religion

RFK Jr: “34% Wins The Electoral College”
cks175 52 Reviews 160 reads
posted
1 / 3

The candidate pointed out he needs only modest gains each month to be in a position to win.

His RCP average is currently at 14%, and if he gains just 2% a month between now and the election, he’s in a position to win.

Could RFK Jr be the 21st Century’s Ross Perot? Majorly tip the scales of the election?

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 42 reads
posted
2 / 3

RFKjr did say 34% wins, but that's the best case minimum where the other candidates split the remaining 66% such that none exceed 33%.  But if, as polls suggest now, that Trump has a 10 point lead on Biden,  Trump could win with 38 to Biden's 28.  There are 32 such splits (taking only whole number splits) that could occur in which 34% doesn't win.

lester_prairie 12 Reviews 42 reads
posted
3 / 3

Also third party candidates tend to fade off their best polls toward election day.
.
I think he could have a major impact, but winning outright is pretty remote.  

Register Now!