I'm trying to find hard data on how many people world wide have contracted herpes through bbbj by year. i'm trying to get a meaningful assesment of the risk (1 in a billion, 1 in a 1000...) without all the morral spin and vague answers that seems to be the only answer on google searches. I've heard that catching H from bbbj is rare but i want to know how rare. Am i more likely to win the lottery 5 times before being infected this way? Any sources would be appreciated. Cheers

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Best bet is to Google for the data. Just remember there is always a risk involved with the choices you make. If you're worried, then you always have the option to not go that route.

and non-existent at worst.  Research is not focused on oral contraction of disease.  Contracting HSV type 1 or 2 is completely dependent on about a million variables in each persons own health and other factors.  It's far more likely that the person giving the blowjob will contract HSV 1 or 2 from said dick, though.  Being the receiving partner is always riskier.  

But, in reality, the number of people who have hsv type 1 and 2 is pretty high.  If you've ever had a cold sore, you've got type 1.  The virus often lies dormant in most people, and is more contagious when open sores are present.  There are a ton of variables concerning how contagious a person is or isn't; stress levels, overall health, presence of other viral infections or illness, etc.

-- Modified on 3/25/2015 8:05:34 PM

Wrote this whole article then realized no one will read it so here are the conclusions.

SUMMARY:
Risk of HSV-1 (oral herpes) in the genital area probably very small since most have oral herpes and it is protective against getting HSV-1 in other areas like the genitals.
Risk of HSV-2 (genital herpes) in the genital area probably greater from covered FS than BBBJ (since uncommon to have HSV-2 in the mouth). Sex with condoms and safe practices lead to about 10% transmission per year.

catching something from a bbbj.   I do not know the risk of contracting herpes from a bbbj, but it only depends on the person giving it to you of course.   Some segment of women may be more likely to have the virus, but no one knows for sure.   I like to think that the vast majority of well reviewed providers are not part of that group, and we all have to decide for ourselves if we are willing to take some risk in that regard.   I like to put things in perspective and realize that risk is everywhere, and we should always try to minimize it, but not be frightened or intimidated by it.  NOTHING is risk free.  Any of us could lose our lives simply by walking down the street, sitting in a classroom, driving a car, flying in a plane, getting a terminal illness, and the list goes on and on.    

That being said, here are some odds you can be sure of:

If chances are 1 in 10 of catching something, you'll have a 99% chance of getting it after 44 encounters.
If the chances are 1 in 100,                   you will  have a 99% chance of getting it after 458 encounters.
If the chances are 1 in 1,000                you will have a 99% chance of getting it after 4,602 encounters.  

If the odds of winning the lottery is merely 1 in 1000,  the chances of winning it 5 times (assuming you buy one chance each time) is  1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000 or one ten trillionth of one percent.  

So I think we all can conclude that the answer to your question is pretty easy--NO.

your logic of general medical information you found on the web or you actually have come across accredited published data with statistical sampling significant enough to apply to the population as a whole on this specific topic?

Annuals of Internal Medicine - prospective clinical study out of the university of Washington. As for applicability to population as a whole, the debate about any controlled study being applicable to the population as a whole from biases applies. The actual figures can always be debated and sliced a million ways but the risk is real and not insignificant and pretty well accepted in the medical literature and community.