Politics and Religion

"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent".....John Maynard Keynes
2sense 1991 reads
posted

If it is so easy to predict the top of a putative speculative bubble such as the oil market, why is it that you're still posting on a hobbying site?

You would instead be playing "Charley Potatoes", living the high-life.

-- Modified on 5/20/2008 10:02:45 PM

"investors were shifting their focus from the short-term to the medium-term, where supply fears played a bigger role". Enjoy $4.00 gas while you can.

This article talks about $12/gallon for gas and rationing.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/24725305

-- Modified on 5/20/2008 9:05:43 PM

It's going to happpen sometime soon. Real estate came down, didn't it. If gas is $12 a gallon, who is going to buy?

2sense1992 reads

If it is so easy to predict the top of a putative speculative bubble such as the oil market, why is it that you're still posting on a hobbying site?

You would instead be playing "Charley Potatoes", living the high-life.

-- Modified on 5/20/2008 10:02:45 PM

GaGambler4296 reads

to invest in oil for the last two years and I'm still posting on a hobbying site, but your point about picking a market top, in any market is well taken.

Most of the people who were later proven right about the dot com bubble were trampled by the irrationally exuberant traders who also went broke when the market eventually tanked. Unfortunately being right is not always enough, especially when you are right too early.

I don't know about playing "Charley Potatoes", but don't expect to hear much out of me for the next few days, I'm off to Costa Rica for a long weekend to spend my ill gotten gains. I wonder what the poor people will be doing? lol

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