Those #s are hard to believe. But, it's interesting that the more Romney sticks around, the more people seem to like him. Whereas the more people see of Newt, the less they like him. I guess it works better to be a genial flip-flopper than a smart douche.
Particularly Rasmussen, whose "accuracy" has been called into question. Check out more reliable link below, which has aggregate of BHO-Romney matchup polls ( including Rasmussen ). Romney trails by 1.6%, which is close to being tied.
IF BHO-Romney '12 matchup, gonna be a nailbiter--------
-- Modified on 12/29/2011 9:10:02 AM
Quote:
Pre-election projections for two organizations’ final polls—Rasmussen and Pew—were
perfectly in agreement with the actual election result (**).
The following list ranks the 23 organizations by the accuracy of their final, national preelection
polls (as reported on pollster.com
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf
-- Modified on 12/29/2011 10:25:03 AM
..having an average error of 5.8 points, and a pro-Republican bias of 3.9 points. In the Hawaiian Senate race, Rasmussen had the incumbent Inouye ahead by 13 points. Inouye won by 53 points, a difference of 40 points from Ass-mussen's poll.
You want to trust someone -- Nate Silver is your man.
You want to trust someone -- Nate Silver is your man.
...report, issued ONE DAY after the election, when the ink on the vote tabulation wasn't even dry. Take a look at this survey - Rasmussen finished 7th.