But his analysis is usually fairly good. And I agree with him. A lot of RFK's support from Democrats came when Biden was still in the race. The Dems putting Harris in the race instead gave Dems who were unsatisfied with Biden a different alternative. After Harris entered the race I think that most of RFK's support came from more conservative leaning people looking for an alternative to Trump. So RFK getting out of the race and endorsing Trump will give Trump a boost.  

 
On a related note, and not to side track, I was reading some polling in Virginia. The poll has Harris ahead in VA by +3. But the related questions were pretty interesting. The big takeaway is that Virginians are stunningly moderate. We're just not very partisan, as a whole. But the polling is showing that there's never been more who said the country is heading in the wrong direction. All the candidates and VP picks have really high negatives. But the surprising thing to me is that Republicans disliked Harris more than Democrats disliked Trump.