to understand what the hell im laughing about. This dipshit can't count backwards from 2.
Political Warning Signs for Obama in Pennsylvania
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Bruce Drake
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Subscribe :For months now, national polls have mostly contained downbeat news for President Obama, with the most recent coming out on Tuesday: a Washington Post/ABC News survey finding a drop in confidence in his ability to make the right decisions for the country and a CBS News poll that found most Americans don't believe his economic policies are making much difference.
But there have also been some stark warning signs for Obama in polls of voters in key states, raising concern about how perception of the administration's performance might color this year's midterm elections, and highlighting challenges Obama could face in a 2012 re-election campaign.
We wrote two weeks ago about Obama's troubles in the bellwether state of Ohio, with its 20 electoral votes -- a state he carried by 51.4 percent to 46.8 percent in 2008, but where voters now disapprove of his performance by a 49 percent to 40 percent margin. Disapproval among independents was even higher.
Pennsylvania, with its 21 electoral votes, is a state in the Republican cross-hairs when it comes to their comeback hopes, including in the current tight Senate race between Democrat Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey.
The latest poll by Quinnipiac University, conducted July 6-11, shows that Pennsylvania presents a picture for Obama that is very similar to that of Ohio. (The poll figures we cited for Ohio were also from Quinnipiac).
Obama won the state in 2008 by a decisive 55 percent to 44 percent margin. Now, Quinnipiac says voters disapprove of his performance by 49 percent to 46 percent with 5 percent undecided. Independents -- who, according to 2008 exit polls, backed Obama by 58 percent to 39 percent -- disapprove of the job he is doing by 53 percent to 40 percent, with 8 percent undecided. Overall, Obama has been on the negative side of the job approval ratings among Pennsylvania voters since April.
Forty-eight percent say he does not deserve re-election in 2012 while 42 percent say he does, with 10 percent undecided. Independents say he does not deserve re-election by a 51 percent to 35 percent margin, with 14 percent undecided.
The outcome is closer when voters are asked if they would vote for Obama or a Republican if the 2012 election was held today, because some voters obviously want to know who that Republican will be. But generically, 41 percent say they'd vote for the Republican, 40 percent for Obama and 12 percent say it depends on the Republican, with 7 percent undecided. Independents would vote for the Republican by 37 percent to 33 percent with 19 percent reserving judgment until they know the candidate and 12 percent undecided.
The support of independents was one of the keys to Obama's election and his job approval rating among them nationally dropped to below 40 percent for the first time during the last 12 months, according to a Gallup poll.
On the key issue of the economy, 55 percent disapprove of Obama's performance while 40 percent approve, with 5 percent undecided. Fifty percent or more of Pennsylvanians have disapproved in each Quinnipiac poll since last December.
"When a politician's approval rating is down 13 points among independent voters, that is generally a sign of political vulnerability," said Quinnipiac's Peter Brown. "The 6-point margin held by those who say President Obama doesn't deserve a second term over those who think he does also should make the White House nervous, especially since Pennsylvania has not voted Republican for president since 1988. Here too, his weakness is among independents, who say 51-35 percent he does not deserve a second term."
from this article a few threads back:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20100713/us_nm/us_obama_poll
The big news was buried 5 paragraphs down.
"Asked how much confidence they have in Obama to make the right decisions for the country's future, 58 percent of respondents said "just some" or "none."
Sixty-eight percent expressed the same sentiments about Democrats in Congress and 72 percent said the same of Republicans."
Seems to me that the biggest news is that nearly three quarters of the American populace don't think the GOP can make the right decisions for the country. Now THAT is the headline. Liberal media, my ass.
I've said for some time now that the Dems will likely go from a 60% majority in both houses to a 55% majority. And I'm sticking with that.
But maybe you guys on the right ought to consider something. In times of war, the GOP tends to do well. We are at war, but that's not the front and center issue right now. The economy is that issue right now. And that tends to favor Democrats. This upcoming election might not be a victory for the GOP.
The GOP has lost, and lost in a big way in the last 2 elections. Could it be possible that the GOP, under Michael Steele's amazing leadership, might hit the trifecta? Could the GOP get hammered in November?
I dunno...
Deficit into a 220 million surplus ,gop ideas have been instrumental on change,
One of the few things that is saving Virginia is that Northern Virginia (last I looked) only had a 4.5% unemployment rate. It's not hard to live within your means when you have one of the lowest unemployment rates in the country. Give the federal government a big thank you for that.
Of course, these savings come with a price. A price that the disabled will have to pay, since their services are being cut. This at a time when the number of disabled in the state is growing, most of whom are WAR VETS.
Northern Virginia used to have the best public education system in the country. Not so anymore. Most of those cuts are coming out of education. What a fucking brilliant long term plan.
Northern VA also has a very serious transportation issue. The Dullas corridor is a never ending nightmare that should have been fixed 10 years ago.
And all this while we have a very low sales tax of only 4.5%. Nothing had to be cut. Bumping that rate up to 5% temporarily would have solved the problem.
The only smart thing in these cuts is a 6% cut in "public safety". Which given how bloated VA's police budget is, doesn't amount to much.
So yeh, if you want to balance a budget by fucking over children and cripples, you can do it. But that doesn't make it a very good idea.
State has nothing to do with it.
Though NoVa has its share of Federal Employees sucking us all dry, there are huge private industry operations here.
Albeit some for the proximity to DC, among them is 1) Telecommunications 2)Defense Contractors(see ref. above) 3) Energy and 4) all manner of industry assoications (see ref. above).
The proximity to the Federal Government is the primary reason some of these operations are here but a lot of actual private industry operations are conducted here as well.
That's true Sswede. Virginia is very business friendly. It was just announced the other day that Raytheon is moving from Cali to NOVA. A lot of it is private gov't contractors sucking us dry. But we do have a lot of high tech industry as well. NoVA has become a kind of secondary silicon valley in the last 10 years. As a result, NOVA is virtually recession-proof. It's also why my home has appreciated in value by about 80k in the last 12 months.
I see you graduated from elementary school finally. I am curious as too what kind of Quasimodo like type of whores you're seeing?
... mean that the statements made are automatically invalid?
The world is round rather than flat!
If you jump out of a plane without a parachute you will probably die!
Look, here I am using an alias stating truths.
The fact he's using an alias doesn't invalidate his point.
What you are doing is attacking the person (an ad hominem attack) rather than his argument. It is essentially an admission of defeat.
Go to the back of the class.
-- Modified on 7/15/2010 2:00:32 PM
He has as much right to post as you or I.
Yes, he used an alias to post an ad hominem attack.
Nasty.
But the proper response is either to ignore it or give a witty reply.
Arguing first with your own ad hominem attack is useless; and then essentially calling for censorship doesn't help.
You are your own worst enemy.
for not only "taking the bait", but running with it for all you are worth.
In this mini "battle of wits" you lost the moment you started posting. If you are going to get into board fights, and with your posting style that is inevitable, you really need to learn "how" to fight back or you are constantly going to be getting your ass kicked like you just had happened to you.
Just remember the guy getting mad, is the guy who is losing the battle, and right now that guy is definitely you.
-- Modified on 7/15/2010 2:00:14 PM
to understand what the hell im laughing about. This dipshit can't count backwards from 2.
Is your native language Spanish rather than English?
The same polls show support for republicans at somewhere in the mid twenty percent to low thirty percent. A politician who has forty percent or more need eleven percent or less to win. Obama will be in trouble if a known republican is running against him and Obama has forty percent support, with the other sixty not for him. Approval polls are not effective indictors because they count people who will vote for a politician in the end but are dissatisfied with some of the person's policies. For Obama, liberals are enraged that Obama does not drag republicans down and is willing to compromise on legislation. How many dissatisfied liberals are among the disapproving group? The health care debate polls serves as strawhorses, at the height of the debate, poll after poll showed sixty two to seventy percent of americans disapproved of health care reform. At the current time, seventy one percent of americans approve of health care reform. What pollsters failed to capture when polling voters during health care debates was that liberals were incensed that reform did not have pet policies like universal coverage, those people got counted in the disapproving group, eventhough they wanted a more aggressive form of health reform. Now that a policy is inacted, liberals are coming on board with the thrity five percent of voters who saw the benefits of health care reform as a bill was being shaped.