1. Significant stock market drop, which will usually precipitate a recession. The party in control of the White House usually doesn't win reelection. Look at 2008, 2000, 1992, 1980. The best way to indicate a future recession is the bond market. It is the most impartial indicator out there. Look at the yield curve, more specifically a flat yield curve, which moves to an inverted curve. Now that I say that, Janet Yellen has fucked up the most pure and logical way to look at the future health of the economy.
2. A significant terrorist act. No, Istanbul doesn't count.Donald Trump's speech today had the first coherent & significant language that he has spoken for more than a year, & of course we all know someone ells must have written it.
& if you are the Donald you have even less to work with under the haystack.
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