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Those are the results I would expect, although I would not be...
wolverine3647 66 Reviews 129 reads
posted

surprised if Bernie won by at least 15 percentage points.

HONDA991 reads

For the GOP, Trumps comes in first place followed by Kaische, Rubio and Cruz. For the Democrats, Bernie wins with a margin of 10 points or less over Hilliary.

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GaGambler130 reads

Trump is of course the prohibitive favorite at 1-10 with Kashich as second choice at 9-1 and Rubio and Cruz right behind at 14-1

Where they seem to disagree with you a bit in on the Dem side where they have Sanders as an overwhelming favorite at 1-80, for those of you who don't bet that means in order to win a lousy hundred bucks, you'd have to risk Eight Grand on Sanders. Talk about a favorite to win. They obviously don't give Hillary a chance today in NH.

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mattradd102 reads

I never did understand those terms!  ;)

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RRO261099 reads

Posted By: mattradd
I never did understand those terms!  ;)
 Neither did I, and it's still a bit fuzzy how you come to the final numbers. They sure did make me happy none the less.

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wolverine3647130 reads

surprised if Bernie won by at least 15 percentage points.

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ChoosyCynic152 reads

Large amount of people changing their minds, undecideds, people can only be polled on landline phones, etc. Bernie a shoo-in, but ' think his margin will only be in the single digits. GOP side impossible to predict for me, anything can happen, even Trump landing in 2nd. IF that happens, the mercurial billionaire will drop put.

-- Modified on 2/9/2016 9:21:27 AM

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GaGambler111 reads

I think the fact that the two biggest "outsiders" from each party are not only favored, but HUGELY favored to win today speaks volumes about the political climate of today.

A year ago I can only imagine the odds that Trump and Sanders would each be odds on favorites to win today.

As for Trump, I see you are a bit slow, people have been predicting "when" he would drop out since he threw his hat into the ring for POTUS. Even the GOP establishment has gotten it through their heads that Trump, while he might not win, is most certainly not going anywhere any time soon.

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ChoosyCynic120 reads

Posted By: GaGambler
I think the fact that the two biggest "outsiders" from each party are not only favored, but HUGELY favored to win today speaks volumes about the political climate of today.  
   
 A year ago I can only imagine the odds that Trump and Sanders would each be odds on favorites to win today.  
   
 As for Trump, I see you are a bit slow, people have been predicting "when" he would drop out since he threw his hat into the ring for POTUS. Even the GOP establishment has gotten it through their heads that Trump, while he might not win, is most certainly not going anywhere any time soon.
Either Sanders or Trump being POTUS is out of the realm of possibility for me. Others may see it differently.

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GaGambler120 reads

Even with all the popular support that Sanders has, (not mine of course) Sanders has ZERO chance of becoming POTUS. Trump on OTOH has a definite chance of winning, You can't choke off his money supply, He is a master at getting free advertising and he is the one GOP candidate that can get the union vote to cross over for him.

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ChoosyCynic97 reads

His polling shows that out of any candidate he has the highest "unlikability factor" Not a good sign. But let's see how it goes in N.H. tonight.

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GaGambler151 reads

Or would you prefer 25% who like you enough to vote for you, 50% who like you, but not enough to vote for you and only 25% who actually hate you?

It's not how many people that hate you that counts, it's how many people who vote for you.

Take someone like Matt, He naturally will hate Trump more than he hates Jeb Bush, but he isn't going to vote for either one of them no matter how much they change themselves to suit him, so what difference does it make that someone like Matt, or you for that matter, hates Trump more than they hate Bush? It's an almost meaningless stat.

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ChoosyCynic140 reads

Posted By: GaGambler
Or would you prefer 25% who like you enough to vote for you, 50% who like you, but not enough to vote for you and only 25% who actually hate you?  
   
 It's not how many people that hate you that counts, it's how many people who vote for you.  
   
 Take someone like Matt, He naturally will hate Trump more than he hates Jeb Bush, but he isn't going to vote for either one of them no matter how much they change themselves to suit him, so what difference does it make that someone like Matt, or you for that matter, hates Trump more than they hate Bush? It's an almost meaningless stat.
I don't hate Trump, as much as I find him a laughable, dumb racist clown. Actually, I hate Rubio FAR more, a shallow repetitious, disingenuous, android, masquerading as a human being.

Then again, GaG, if Trump wins tonight, you're right & all bets are off-----oops , unfortunate choice of words--------LOL I have a feeling there might be an Iowa repeat tonight, so we'll see, not the first time that state has confounded the pollsters.

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GaGambler161 reads

This one is not even going to be close. Trump and Sanders, both political outsiders are going to win tonight in a cakewalk.

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HONDA115 reads

.......but the Clinton fix was in, probably in some dark back room. I think in New Hampshire the Clinton machine will see to it that she does not lose to Bernie by more than 10 points. Then again we live in a different political atmosphere now and people are really ANGRY this election cycle.

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Timbow150 reads

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quadseasonal123 reads

I never bet more than I can lose and laugh about.
       
Unfortunately I don't have betting money left this week, after having much too much faith on the  sore loser in the Super Bowl.

   Bernie beats Sir Hillary in New Hampshire  by 16 points.
   
 
   
   

Posted By: HONDA
For the GOP, Trumps comes in first place followed by Kaische, Rubio and Cruz. For the Democrats, Bernie wins with a margin of 10 points or less over Hilliary.

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ChoosyCynic117 reads

Posted By: quadseasonal
  I never bet more than I can lose and laugh about.  
         
 Unfortunately I don't have betting money left this week, after having much too much faith on the  sore loser in the Super Bowl.  
   
    Bernie beats Sir Hillary in New Hampshire  by 16 points.  

I think Hillary loses by 9 points. As for the GOP side, too unpredictable.
     
   
     
     
   

Posted By: HONDA
For the GOP, Trumps comes in first place followed by Kaische, Rubio and Cruz. For the Democrats, Bernie wins with a margin of 10 points or less over Hilliary.

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mattradd116 reads

That neither person, who wins their party's primary, will be the eventual nominee of the party.  ;)

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HONDA108 reads

The Democrat primaries are already rigged in favor of Hillary with most or all of the "super" delegates supporting her. The super delegates are already in her back pocket. On the GOP side, if Trump wins New Hampshire and then takes off in South Carolina, Trump could win the GOP nomination. The only question is how long the establishment candidates, Rubio, Christie, Kaische and Jeb want to duke it out and ultimately knock themselves out completely.

Posted By: mattradd
That neither person, who wins their party's primary, will be the eventual nominee of the party.  ;)
-- Modified on 2/9/2016 6:51:55 PM

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GaGambler144 reads

I have maintained for the longest time that I fully expect Hillary to NOT be on the ballot in November, whether it happens because she is beaten in the primaries, she is indicted, or a plane drops out of the sky on her head. As for the GOP, if Trump is the winner, it is conceivable that he too gets fucked out of the nomination, although I think the chances are slimmer, because if the GOP establishment fucks him and goes against the will of the voters I have little doubt that he will run as an Indy completely fucking the GOP's chances of winning in November.

Do you know what would be a very interesting turn of events. Sanders wins the nomination, gets fucked by the Dems and runs as an Indy. Trump wins the nomination, gets fucked by the GOP and runs as an Indy as well. So come November we have Sanders, Trump, Hillary and someone like maybe Rubio all running for the nations highest office. What a delicious clusterfuck that would be.

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